Timberwolves vs. Pistons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Detroit Pistons (4-36) are heavy underdogs (by 11.5 points) to break a three-game home losing streak when they host the Minnesota Timberwolves (28-11) on Wednesday, January 17, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET. The matchup’s point total is set at 222.

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Timberwolves and Pistons Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 11.5-point favorites this season, the Timberwolves are 1-3 against the spread.

The Pistons have a 4-4 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 11.5 points or more this season.

These teams average 224.9 points per game combined, 2.9 more than the over/under of 222.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 229.9 points per game, 7.9 more than the over/under in this matchup.

The Timberwolves’ average point total in outings this season is 220.4, 1.6 points fewer than the over/under in this game.

Detroit’s games this season have averaged a total of 234.3 points, 12.3 more than the point total in this matchup.

Minnesota has a 20-17-2 record against the spread this season.

So far this season, the Pistons have put together a 16-23-1 record against the spread.

Timberwolves Stats & Insights

The Timberwolves’ +226 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 113.1 points per game (20th in the NBA) while allowing 107.3 per outing (first in the league).

The Timberwolves record 44.2 rebounds per game (10th in the league) while conceding 40.9 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.3 boards per game.

Minnesota knocks down 12.1 three-pointers per game (20th in the league) at a 38.3% rate (third-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.6 its opponents make while shooting 34.8% from deep.

The Timberwolves rank 18th in the league by averaging 115.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are first in the NBA, allowing 109.7 points per 100 possessions.

In 2023-24, the Timberwolves’ offense has been slightly worse at home, where they average 112.6 points per game, compared to road games, where they record 113.6 per game. On the defensive side of the ball, they have been much tougher when playing at home, where they give up 102.5 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they let opponents to average 111.4 per game.

Pistons Stats & Insights

The Pistons have a -433 scoring differential, falling short by 10.8 points per game. They’re putting up 111.8 points per game, 26th in the league, and are giving up 122.6 per outing to rank 27th in the NBA.

Detroit ranks 17th in the NBA at 43.5 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 42.6 its opponents average.

The Pistons connect on 10.6 three-pointers per game (30th in the league) at a 34.5% rate (28th in NBA), compared to the 11.9 per outing their opponents make, shooting 38.3% from beyond the arc.

The Pistons rank 26th in the league averaging 111.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 28th, allowing 122 points per 100 possessions.

Detroit is scoring fewer points at home (110.2 per game) than away (113.1).

Timberwolves Key Players to Watch

The Timberwolves active scoring leader is Anthony Edwards, who averages 26.0 per contest to go with 5.4 rebounds and 4.9 assists.

Rudy Gobert adds 13.1 points, 1.1 assists and 12.3 rebounds per contest. Mike Conley puts up 11.0 points, 6.4 assists and 2.7 rebounds per game.

Conley leads active Timberwolves in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.4 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Edwards averages 1.3 steals per game, while Gobert has 2.1 blocks per contest.

Pistons Key Players to Watch

Jaden Ivey scores 13.8 points per game. He also contributes 3.8 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game this season.

This season, Jalen Duren is averaging 14.2 points, 2.6 assists and 11.6 rebounds per game.

Alec Burks averages 2.2 made threes per game.

Ausar Thompson’s 0.9 steals and 1.0 block per game are vital to the Pistons’ defensive production.

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