Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Playoffs Game 5 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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24 April 2023

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Playoffs Game 5 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Odds are against Anthony Edwards and the Minnesota Timberwolves (42-40), who are a 9.5-point underdog when they square off with Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (53-29) on April 25, 2023. The game features a point total of 221.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds

Nuggets odds to win: -456
Timberwolves odds to win: +353
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
Total: 221

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

When: Tuesday, April 25, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET
Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
TV: NBA TV, ALT, and BSNX

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Timberwolves?

Nuggets and Timberwolves Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets have a 9-6-1 record against the spread when favored by 9.5 points or more this season.

The Timberwolves are 0-2 against the spread when an underdog by 9.5 points or greater this year.

The two teams average a combined 10.6 more points per game (231.6) than this game’s total of 221 points.

Denver and Minnesota have seen its opponents average a combined 7.3 more points per game than the point total of 221 set in this game.

The Nuggets’ average point total in matchups this season is 228.3, 7.3 points higher than the total in this game.

The average point total for Minnesota this season is 10.6 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Denver’s ATS record is 44-36-2 this season.

The Timberwolves have a 39-41-2 record against the spread this season.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets’ +273 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 115.8 points per game (12th in the NBA) while allowing 112.5 per outing (eighth in the league).

The Nuggets win the rebound battle by 2.2 boards on average. They record 43 rebounds per game, which ranks 18th in the league, while their opponents grab 40.8 per outing.

Denver hits 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league) at a 37.9% rate (fourth-best in the NBA), compared to the 11.4 its opponents make while shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc.

The Nuggets rank second in the league by averaging 116.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 19th in the NBA, allowing 112.9 points per 100 possessions.

The Nuggets have been significantly better offensively at home, where they average 119.4 points per game, compared to on the road, where they average 112.2 per game. Defensively, they are much better in home games, where they allow 109.6 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow their opponents to average 115.3 per game.

Timberwolves Stats & Insights

The Timberwolves have a -3 scoring differential, putting up 115.8 points per game (12th in league) and giving up 115.8 (18th in NBA).

Minnesota loses the rebound battle by 2.8 boards on average. It records 41.9 rebounds per game, 23rd in the league, while its opponents grab 44.7.

The Timberwolves make 12.2 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.3. They shoot 36.5% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36.9%.

The Timberwolves rank 23rd in the NBA with 111.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 10th defensively with 111.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Minnesota scores 115.9 points per game at home, and 115.6 on the road.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic accumulates 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds per game, with 9.8 assists.

Michael Porter Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Nuggets, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of three per contest.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 steals per game, while Aaron Gordon swats 0.8 shots per contest.