Titans vs Chiefs Prediction, Odds & Picks Nov 06
Top-three seeds in the AFC will battle on Sunday Night Football. The Tennessee Titans (5-2) will walk into a raucous atmosphere in Arrowhead Stadium when they take on the Kansas City Chiefs (5-2). Whoever wins will hold the No. 2 seed in the conference.
Tennessee has its run game rolling with a solid defense, while the Chiefs’ offense is operating like a well-oiled machine. Which team will gain the upper hand in the playoff standings?
Let’s check the latest NFL odds, stats, injury reports, and NFL lines for Titans vs Chiefs. We’ve plenty of Vegas NFL odds and NFL week 9 picks for you to consider.
Physical Tennessee Run Game Is Back
Without starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill, the Tennessee Titans managed to win their last game over the Houston Texans 17-10. Rookie backup quarterback Malik Willis struggled in his debut, totaling 55 passing yards and one interception with a 35.4 passer rating. The Titans stayed extremely conservative, attempting only 10 passes.
Tennessee won thanks to 314 rushing yards on seven yards per carry. After posting 219 rushing yards on 32 attempts, running back Derrick Henry is officially back to normal. Henry has posted over 100 rushing yards in four consecutive games.
As expected, the Titans’ passing game has fallen off without wide receiver A.J. Brown. It ranks 31st in passing yards per game. If Willis starts against the Kansas City Chiefs, Tennessee will need more balance. Attempting only 10 passes will not beat Kansas City. Regardless, the Titans will be run-heavy, looking to control the time of possession battle.
On defense, Tennessee needs a big game from its pass rush. Jeffery Simmons has become one of the NFL’s most versatile defensive tackles. He can be an elite pass rusher as a three-technique or stuff the run while playing nose tackle. Through seven games, Simmons has 26 tackles and 5.5 sacks.
Chiefs’ Corners Should Improve
Coming off of a bye week, the Kansas City Chiefs hope to hit the ground running. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes is in MVP form (+400). Wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster has established himself as the No. 1 wideout after posting over 110 receiving yards in back-to-back games. Plus, the run game has found success at times, like its 189-yard performance in the 41-31 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on October 2.
During the bye week, the Chiefs acquired wide receiver Kadarius Toney from the New York Giants for a 2023 third-round compensatory pick and a 2023 sixth-round pick. The former first-round pick is a perfect fit in Kansas City with his elite yards-after-catch ability. Toney will make his Chiefs debut against the Tennessee Titans.
Kansas City’s run defense has been exceptional, yielding 4.2 yards per carry (seventh) and 92 rushing yards per game (third). The secondary has struggled, allowing 277 passing yards per game (30th). However, the Chiefs’ cornerbacks will be healthy for Sunday as rookie Trent McDuffie is expected to return from a hamstring injury. Kansas City is confident in its rookie cornerback duo of McDuffie and Joshua Williams.
Titans vs Chiefs Head-to-Head
Despite Kansas City’s success in recent years, the Titans have dominated this matchup. Tennessee has won four of the five last matchups, including last season’s 27-3 win.
Titans vs Chiefs Game Information
- Game: Titans vs Chiefs
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 6
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
- How to watch Titans vs Chiefs? ESPNTitans vs Chiefs Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
Titans vs Chiefs Betting Lines
Titans vs Chiefs Prediction
Last season, the Titans stomped the Chiefs 27-3. However, Kansas City’s rush defense is much-improved. It ranked 19th last season, compared to third this season. Linebackers Nick Bolton and Willie Gay have developed into a formidable tandem.
Furthermore, Tennessee has a major quarterback problem. If Tannehill does play, he will likely have less mobility due to his ankle injury. The Chiefs’ pass rush has performed led by defensive tackle Chris Jones’ five sacks. Kansas City will display its dominance once again with a cover.
The Kansas City Chiefs are listed at -600 in our Vegas lines. This means that if you wager $100 on the Chiefs, you have a chance to win $17. The Tennessee Titans are +450, offering a chance to win $450 on a $100 wager.
The implied probability attached to the betting lines gives the Kansas City Chiefs a 85.71% chance to win, with the Tennessee Titans at 18.18%.
The odds and predictions in the article are based on the time of writing and publication. They may differ as to when the actual event takes place.
