Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues odds, picks and predictions

The Toronto Maple Leafs (29-16-8) and St. Louis Blues (29-23-2) tussle in a Monday matinee. The opening faceoff at the Enterprise Center is slated for 1 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Maple Leafs vs. Bluesodds, and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

The Maple Leafs, who beat St. Louis 4-1 in Toronto Tuesday, head to Missouri after sweeping a 3-game home stand. The 3rd of those home tilts was Saturday when the Leafs decimated the Anaheim Ducks in a 9-2 triumph.

The Blues are playing their 3rd straight game at home. They are 16-10-1 on home ice (3-3-1 since Jan. 13). Their most recent game was Saturday, a 5-2 loss to a Nashville Predators club that had lost 5 of 6 games (1-4-1) since Jan. 27.

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Maple Leafs at Blues odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:20 a.m. ET.

Maple Leafs at Blues projected goalies

Ilya Samsonov (11-4-6, 3.25 GAA, .881 SV%, 2 SO) vs. Jordan Binnington (19-15-2, 2.93 GAA, .908 SV%, 2 SO)

Samsonov has fallen off this season after a big 2022-23 campaign, his 1st season with the Leafs. But the 26-year-old Russian did stop 14 of 15 St. Louis pucks in Tuesday's meeting, and he owns a solid .923 SV% since Jan. 21.

Binnington allowed 3 goals on 31 shots against the Leafs Tuesday. Like Samsonov, the Blues' primary netminder had a rocky month of December (.881 SV%). He has rallied with a .923 SV% in 13 games since.

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Maple Leafs at Blues picks and predictions

Prediction

Maple Leafs 4, Blues 3

Toronto is 4-1-1 across the last 6 meetings between these 2 clubs.

The Maple Leafs have come out of the gate strong after the All-Star break and are facing a Blues team that has been leaky in coughing up a lot of high-danger looks of late.

BACK TORONTO (-155).

Per OddsShark.com, the Leafs are 8-18 against the puck line on road ice, and the Blue are 17-10 vs. the PL at home.

PASS unless the pricing improves before puck drop.

The Over has cashed in 5 of the last 6 series meetings.

Both clubs figure as somewhat percentage-unlucky in how they have converted on high-danger looks. Toronto is at a disadvantage in goal and has coughed up 3.74 goals per game when playing on 1 day of rest.

The Leafs' powerplay netted 4 goals Saturday and has cranked along with a 61.1% conversion rate since Jan. 27. The Blues' PP owns a 31.3% figure since Jan. 26.