Twins vs. Yankees predictions, spread pick & odds for Sunday, 4/16

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The Twins took the first two games of the series as the Yankees pitching was not able to limit the Minnesota bats. But Sunday’s matchup brings the best pitching matchup of the series, as Pablo Lopez will take the mound to counter Gerrit Cole. Both pitchers are the ace of their respective staff, which should create a very competitive series finale.

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It was a dominant opening win on Thursday as the Twins scored nine runs in the first inning and never looked back. The Yankees were able to put up a few pity runs, but overall, it was a blowout from the Twins. Game two was a different story, as the Yankees held the lead for the first half of the game before the Twins fought back and ended up winning the game. It’s safe to say that the series has not gone the way New York expected, but they have a great chance to end the series on a good note with Gerrit Cole on the mound.

Opposing Cole will be Minnesota’s ace, Pablo Lopez. Both Cole and Lopez have been spectacular in their first few starts, and that has our expert leaning one way in his Twins vs. Yankees predictions.

Pablo Lopez has seized the title of Minnesota ace. Through three starts, Lopez has allowed three runs and eight hits in 20 innings, while also recording 26 strikeouts. His advanced metrics indicate that Lopez’s success is no fluke, considering he ranks in the 93rd percentile for xBA, 91st percentile for strikeout rate, 92nd percentile in whiff rate and so much more.

Not only has Lopez been excellent, but he’s also been super efficient. He’s completed at least seven innings in both of his recent outings, which limits the burden on the bullpen.

Similarly to Lopez, Gerrit Cole has been fantastic. He’s allowed three runs and 11 hits in 19.1 innings while having a 31% strikeout rate. A promising part of his season is that Cole has not allowed a home run yet, which was something he was burdened with last season.

Cole allowed 33 home runs last season, which was the most by any pitcher in the American League. Because of the dominance by each pitcher, the under has great value in the series finale. Our expert’s Twins vs. Yankees predictions is on the under 7 runs, and you can tail this bet at DraftKings Sportsbook where the best odds are present.

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If you’re interested in betting on the series finale between the Twins and Yankees, check out the odds for the game below, courtesy of DraftKings.

Run line: Minnesota Twins +1.5 (-165) vs. New York Yankees -1.5 (+140)

Money line: Minnesota Twins ML (+135) vs. New York Yankees ML (-155)

Game total: Over 7 (-110), Under (-110)

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