UFC: Cyril Gane vs. Serghei Spivac Betting Analysis and Prediction

With a bunch of exciting upcoming UFC fights this weekend in Paris, let’s put the main event under the spotlight and get a closer look at this heavyweight bout between Ciryl Gane and Sergey Spivak. The winner of this main event will most likely be in a top-contender title eliminator fight the next time they walk into the octagon.

Read more for the complete Ciryl Gane vs Sergey Spivak prediction ahead of making your bets on this weekend’s betting slate.

Ciryl Gane vs. Sergey Spivak Information

Ciryl Gane vs Sergey Spivak

Location: Accord Arena, Paris, France

Date and Time: Saturday, September 02. 3:00 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: ESPN+

Last Fight Record

Gane is coming off a title fight loss to Jon Jones via first-round submission earlier this year.

Spivak is coming off a first-round submission win over Derrick Lewis in February.

Ciryl Gane vs. Sergey Spivak Betting Analysis

Ciryl Gane

Gane is the biggest French combat sports star in the world and is the face of MMA for the UFC’s new targeted audience in Europe. He is a former kickboxer and Muay Thai fighter. But now has an MMA record of 11-2 with five TKO/KOs and three submissions.

At the age of 33, Gane now has held the interim title and challenged for the undisputed belt twice, losing both. He is 6’4” with an 81” reach. And has incredible world-class striking skills that has led him to average 5.08 significant strikes landed. And only 2.25 significant strikes absorbed per minute in the octagon. His 45% takedown defense will be the main thing that Spivak will look to expose.

Sergey Spivak

Spivak is a Moldovan MMA fighter with a professional record of 16-3 with seven KOs and seven submissions under his belt at only 28 years old. He will be able to match the size of Gane. Standing in at 6’3” with a 78” reach, and usually weighs in at about 15 pounds heavier than Gane.

“The Polar Bear” is a great example of the new age of MMA fighters with great all-around skills. Spivak averages 3.79 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing 2.84 of those strikes. His dominance stems from him averaging 5.05 takedowns landed per 15 minutes at a 65% clip.

Updates

No injuries have been reported to the UFC.

Ciryl Gane vs. Sergey Spivak Betting Preview

Before getting to making the difficult Ciryl Gane vs Sergey Spivak prediction, we have to take a closer look at this fight on a technical side but also look through all the available betting lines.

According to UFC odds, Gane is coming in as the -175 betting favorite and the A-side to this event in his hometown. Spivak is closing at around +145 to get the upset victory and catapult his way into title contention.

This fight is heavily favored to be finished before the 5-round limit is up, with odds at -485. Gane is -135 to win inside the distance, and Spivak is +250 to do the same. These two are both too big and too dangerous not to expect the fight to be finished before the 25 minutes are up.

Unstoppable Force

Looking at this bout from a technical lens, Gane is one of the prettiest strikers in the UFC. The way he moves is unprecedented in the heavyweight division, and he is a master of both kickboxing and Muay Thai. His big hole in his game is his defensive grappling.

Spivak has some of the most power in the division, but he pairs those fast hands with an ability to maul the biggest and strongest professional fighters in the world. His dominant wrestling and top pressure prove to be tough for anybody to handle.

The outcome of this fight will be determined by how the early wrestling exchanges go.

Ciryl Gane vs. Sergey Spivak Betting Prediction

UFC predictions being made at this level are so difficult. Because of the unpredictable outcomes that happen every weekend in the sport of MMA, especially when the best are fighting the best in the UFC. This main event is heavyweight MMA, which is basically a totally different sport.

• The official Ciryl Gane vs Sergey Spivak prediction is that Spivak will get his hand raised in front of an upset French crowd in Paris on Saturday evening. What it comes down to is the wrestling of Spivak and the option to quit for Gane.

He is a great athlete and a great fighter, but it’s hard to ignore the narrative of Gane and how he isn’t the most motivated fighter ever and tends to take shortcuts in training.

When making your UFC picks, keep in mind that Spivak is a savage that will not be denied, and you just can’t bet against him when he’s going up against someone like Gane.

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