UFC Fight Night 235: Randy Brown vs. Muslim Salikhov odds, picks and predictions

In a 3-round welterweight bout on the main card, Randy Brown and Muslim Salikhov meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 235 - also known as UFC on ESPN+ 93 and UFC Vegas 85 - at the UFC's APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the UFC Fight Night 235: Brown vs. Salikhov odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 4 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Records: Brown (17-5-0) | Salikhov (19-4-0)

Brown posted a unanimous-decision win last time out of Wellington Turman in late June. He has won 5 of his past 6 fights, going the distance in 4 of his past 5 outings. His only blemish during the span is a 1st-round submission loss when he was overwhelmed by Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 284 last February.

Salikhov is looking to bounce back after a unanimous-decision loss against Nicolas Dalby last time out in mid-June. He has dropped 2 of his past 3 fights, also suffering a 2nd-round KO/TKO setback against Li Jingliang in July 2022.

Brown enters with an amazing 8-inch reach advantage, and he holds a 4.38-to-3.37 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Salikhov has a slight 54.19% significant strikes landed per minute, while Brown is 50.81% in the category. Salikhov is a little better in takedown average, too, with a 1.31-to-0.80 advantage.

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UFC Fight Night 235: Brown vs. Salikhov odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

UFC Fight Night 235: Brown vs. Salikhov picks and predictions

Brown (-275) will cost you nearly 3 times your potential return, and that's way too expensive on the 2-way line. Instead, you'll need to get a little more specific.

Brown has that amazing 8-inch reach advantage, and he should use that to keep Salikhov at a distance, pushing and pulling him out whenever he chooses. He should do enough to wow the judges, and as such, it's a good idea to play BROWN BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+125) at plus-money, which is a very good value.

OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-165) is not priced out of line if you want a little wiggle room, rather than playing YES (-135): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE. Either way, you should be in good shape, as Brown has ended up going the distance in 4 of his past 5 fights. Salikhov has ended up going the distance in 4 of his past 6 bouts, too.

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