UFC Fight Night 232: Pinheiro vs. Ribas odds, picks and predictions

In a 3-round women’s strawweight bout on the main card, Luana Pinheiro and Amanda Ribas meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 232 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 90 and UFC Vegas 82 — at the UFC APEX. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s around the UFC Fight Night 232: Pinheiro vs. Ribas odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ starting at 2 p.m. ET, while the main card begins on ESPN+ at 5 p.m. ET.

Records: Pinheiro (11-1-0) | Ribas (11-4-0)

Pinheiro has won all 3 of her fights since arriving at the UFC level with a Round 1 disqualification victory over Randa Markos in May 2021. Her past 2 fights have gone the distance, including a split-decision victory over Michelle Waterson-Gomez at UFC 287.

Ribas was knocked out in her most recent bout in late June against Maycee Barber, and she has alternated losses and wins in each of the past 6 bouts dating back to UFC 251.

Ribas holds a 3.5-inch reach advantage against her fellow Brazilian fighter, and she also holds a 4.73-to-3.86 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Pinheiro is also just 41.24% on the significant strikes accuracy, while Ribas is much more accurate at 54.62% on those strikes.

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UFC Fight Night 232: Luana Pinheiro vs. Amanda Ribas odds

FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:03 a.m. ET.

UFC Fight Night 232: Luana Pinheiro vs. Amanda Ribas picks and predictions

Ribas (-245) is a decorated veteran who should be able to use her reach advantage to push and pull Pinheiro (+194) out, picking and choosing her time to pounce.

You can’t risk nearly 2½ times your potential return on the favorite, however, and you must get a little more specific for a much better value. The favorite has ended up going the distance in 3 of her past 4 fights, and therefore RIBAS BY POINTS (+110) is a much better play at near even-money.

Over 2.5 Rounds (-196) is a little too pricey at nearly 2 times your potential return. However, since I like Ribas by points, playing YES (-156): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is the better option, and it’s not priced out of line.