Utah Jazz vs. Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview, and Odds
The Milwaukee Bucks are hosting the Utah Jazz at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Utah is 17-20 this season and sits 12th in the Western Conference. Milwaukee is second in the Eastern Conference with a record of 25-11. Last season the Bucks won both of their games against the Jazz. The game is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. EST.
Jazz Having Issues on Defense
The Utah Jazz are heading to Milwaukee after their win on Saturday against the Philadelphia 76ers with a final score of 120-109. Utah has been having some problems on defense this season averaging 118.7 points per game allowed. We are seeing the the Jazz are allowing the 26th most field goal attempts as well as 26th most three pointer attempts. The upside to their defense is that they rank fifth overall in defensive rebounding.
On offense the Jazz have been doing slightly better recently bringing their average points per game up to 114.6. The opposite is happing on offense for the Jazz as they rank seventh overall in field goal attempts per game and 12th in three pointer attempts. We also see that they carry over their effectiveness at rebounding with them ranking third in offensive rebounds.
Bucks Continue to be Top Offense
The Milwaukee Bucks are traveling back home after their loss on Saturday to the Houston Rockets with a final score of 108-112. Milwaukee this season despite this loss is still averaging the second most points per game at 124.3. They are achieving this with their amazing shooting percentages that rank eighth at the three point line and third inside the three point line. The Bucks however are struggling at rebounding the ball with them sitting 26th in offensive rebounds this season.
On defense the Bucks are not playing that well this season averaging 119.5 points against per game. The Bucks are last in field goal attempts allowed per game and 26th in field goals against. Milwaukee however is defending well at the three point line where they are second in opponent three pointer shooting percentage and sixth in three pointers allowed per game.
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Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:
The Bucks in their last two meeting against the Jazz have covered a -9.5 spread in both games. In Utah's last three games they have averaged 123.7 points per game. However, that number is misleading as their one win against the Pistons finished with them getting 154 points. Milwaukee does not have the best defense but neither do the Jazz. The second best offense in the league should be able to take advantage of this defense and cover their spread.
I am taking the Bucks at -9.5.
Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks -9.5 ( -110 )
Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:
I think we are going to see the Jazz fall back to normal after them increasing their average points this season. While the Bucks defense is going to allow some points, if the Bucks retain the ball for most of the game, I doubt the Jazz will have many opportunities to hit their averages. When we factor both teams averages on offense and defense we get a projected total of 241. Both teams are averaging a pace of 106 possessions which is very high and will bring the projected total up to 257. This total is factoring in Utah's 123.7 average in their last three games and I think the total is higher than it should be. Expect the Jazz to struggle to get over 100 points in this matchup.
Take the under at 245.
Prediction: Under 245 ( -110 )
Growing up in Pittsburgh, Anthony has always been surrounded by sports. Whether its watching the Penguins win the cup or the Steelers winning another ring, he saw what it took to win it all. He enjoys breaking down stats and applying them to spreadsheets to better his picks. With the combination of watching trends and his spreadsheets, Anthony has been very successful as a sports bettor. His last name is the German word for people and it is clear that he is the people's choice when it comes to handicapping.
