Vitor Petrino vs Marcin Prachnio Pick, 7/8/2023 Predictions UFC 290 Odds

Vitor Petrino vs Marcin Prachnio

UFC 290

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 8, 2023

Vitor Petrino will face off against Marcin Prachnio at UFC 290 on Saturday, July 8, 2023. The opening odds have Petrino priced at -278 while Prachnio is priced at +215.

Vitor Petrino comes into this bout with a mark of 8-0-0. The 25-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Marcin Prachnio stands in at 6'3" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 16-6-0. The 34-year-old stretches 74". Regarding significant strikes, Vitor Petrino is connecting on 3.43 per min while Marcin Prachnio connects on 5.70 significant strikes per min. Petrino is landing 48% of the significant strikes he attempts while Prachnio is landing 54%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Petrino allows 2.16 significant strikes per minute while Prachnio absorbs 3.26. Petrino also stops 47% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Prachnio stops 55% of them.

In the category of takedowns, Vitor Petrino is the better grappler as he gets a takedown 4.45 times per 3 rounds. Petrino is scoring a takedown on 77% of his attempts and stopping 66% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Prachnio is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his takedown attempts and is defending 62% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Petrino is the more apt fighter by going for 0.6 subs per 3 rounds while Prachnio tries 0.3 subs per 3 rds.

In his last bout, Vitor Petrino fought Anton Turkalj and wound up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Turkalj ended up landing 69 of 95 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Petrino finished this fight landing 60 of 104 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Turkalj ended up landing 33 of 56, giving him a percentage of 58%. He ended up landing 19 of 36 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Petrino landed 47% of his significant strikes by sticking 39 of 82. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 27 of 66 pointed at the head. 66% of the significant strikes connected on by Turkalj and 71% of them landed by Petrino were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Marcin Prachnio, he battled William Knight and wound up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Knight ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Prachnio connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Prachnio connected on 54% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 79 of 144. He connected on 9 of 36 significant strikes to the head. Knight connected on 8 of 33 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 0 of 13 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Knight ended up landing 8 of 33 and Prachnio connected on 79 of 144 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Shannon Ross fights Jesus Aguilar. Ross has a mark of 13-7-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The switch fighter has an arm span of 66". Aguilar measures in at 5'4" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 8-2-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 62". In terms of takedowns, Shannon Ross takes his opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 15 min and Jesus Aguilar gets a takedown 2.77 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Ross connects on 6.57 strikes per min and connects on 37% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Jesus Aguilar, who tags the opposition on 48% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 1.60 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Esteban Ribovics is set to go up against Kamuela Kirk. Kirk walks into the cage with a record of 12-5-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The switch fighter has an arm span of 75". Ribovics measures 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 11-1-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 69". When it comes to takedowns, Kamuela Kirk is thwarting 53% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 40% of the times he tries. Ribovics is taking his opponents down on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 47% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Kirk absorbs 5.10 strikes/minute and he lands 2.99 per min. Ribovics, on the contrary, absorbs 3.09 strikes per minute and deals 4.79 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Marcin Prachnio (+215)

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