Week 4 Betting Adjustments

There was no consensus championship favourite in the NBA. The bottom feeders are slowly accumulating the losses. In the East, Milwaukee and Boston are known commodities. Denver and Utah are tied for the top seed in West.

The 12 teams that were projected to finish under .500 according to FanDuel's win totals are going to be the underdogs. The only three projected lottery teams with negative ATS are Charlotte, New York and Detroit.

The pandemic had a major influence on homecourt advantage for the past three NBA seasons. Now that arenas operate essentially at pre-pandemic levels, there’s a return to normalcy.

Only four NBA teams are performing better on the road this season. Home teams outperform oddsmakers’ expectations this year. Since the pandemic began, the home teams finished with a negative point differential versus the spread all three seasons. This year, home team is performing 1.04 points better versus spread.

Brooklyn has gone 5-1 ATS since Kyrie Irving's suspension began. Kevin Durant is playing at an MVP level. The play is to bet on Brooklyn Ats. The team started the season 1-5. They are now on a run.

Joel Embiid has been playing well since returning from an illness. He scored 59 points and had a double-double against the Knicks.

Embiid is averaging 40 points in four games without. He's hitting 79.3% of his shots at the rim and 23.7% from three-point range. Embiids has gone 23% on three's in last two seasons.

Anthony Edwards is playing fine for the Timberwolves. He's been an under-performer due to the public's expectations. His opening night point prop was set at 23.5. The Wolves are 6-8 and the team was the No. 1 rated offence after the All-Star break last season.

O.G. Anunoby is making headlines with his defensive production this year. He's had 11 straight games of three or more combined steals and blocks. FanDuel lists him as the fifth choice for the award at +1400.

Antetokounmpo and Luka Magic are the frontrunners for the NBA's Most Valuable Player award. Doncic leads the league in scoring. Jayson Tatum's Celtics are on a six-game win streak.

Bennedict Mathurin is a contender for Rookie of the Year. Paolo Banchero is the market's favorite. Scottie Barnes won the award after the All-Star break. Jaden Ivey and Keegan Murray are the next two choices. Mathursin has scored four points per game more than Ivevey.

At the beginning of the month, Anunoby was listed at +12000 to win DPOY. Mobley has slid up the ranks to +700 after opening the season at -2400. Antetokounmpo is the favourite at +290.