Week 7 Betting Adjustments

The NBA season has been full of outlier performances and surprising streaks. The defending champions, Golden State Warriors, were a sub-.500 team for most of the season up until a week ago. Los Angeles Lakers opened with two five-game losing streaks and seemed destined to blow it up.

Paul George, Kawhi Leonard, and James Harden all played their first games back from prolonged absences Monday night. Khris Middleton and Jimmy Butler played second games.

The players returning from injury are going to be on some form of minutes restriction. Some players have more rust to shake off than others. Last night, Harden played 38 minutes, but he only shot 4-for-19 from the field. Leonard went under his point prop of 14.5 for the sixth time this season.

Cleveland is the fifth-best team ATS this season. They are particularly good at home. Memphis is a different story. Their home record is better than their away record. Golden State is polarizing. They have been favourites in seven of their 12 away games and went 2-10 straight up. The play is to bet the opposing team totals. for the away matches. It's a good idea to take the team's away records. For the home game, bet on the score.

Nikola Jokic is a point prop for this week's betting. He has improved on his two MVP seasons and is shooting a career-high effective field-goal percentage, 66.4%. He went from 20.8 ppg to 27.7 pPG before and after his bout with COVID.

Deandre Ayton has had a good start to the season. He was the first overall pick of the 2018 NBA draft. Phoenix didn't offer him a contract extension.

Ayton is averaging 21.4 ppg over his last eight games.

O.G. Anunoby is having a career-year defensively. He has guarded Jaylen Brown last night who went under his 25.5 point prop. Opposing stars have gone over their point props in just one of their last eight games versus OG.

Jayson Tatum is a +280 favourite to win MVP at FanDuel. He's playing well for Boston Celtics. Giannis Antetokounmpo is +290, while Luka Doncic is -310. Dallas is one game above .500. The main knock on Doncaic's case is his poor shooting. His effective field-goal percentage is on pace to be his worse in five seasons.