Why three is still the magic number in Week 4
NFL competitiveness and betting drama have reached all-time highs.
18 games have been decided by three points or less in Week 4. Three is the most common margin of victory in NFL. Since the league moved back the extra-point distance in 2015, 14.8% of games decided on three or fewer points.
10 of 48 games have been decided by two points or less this season. The Raiders are the league's only 0-3 team. Denver Broncos are 2-1 and the Raiders have a must-win situation. Denver's defense is solid but overrated. Vegas is betting on the under. Broncos at Raiders is a good bet. They play at 4:25 p.m. ET. It's a game between two teams with Super Bowl aspirations.
Kansas City Chiefs play Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday at 8:25 p.m. ET. The game was moved to Raymond James Stadium in South Florida. 75% of bets have backed Kansas City, but a similar percentage is backing Tom Brady.
The professionals land the best bets because the oddsmakers respond aggressively to their wagers. The professionals' consensus is Steelers -3, Cardinals +1, Seahawks +4, Colts - 3, Patriots +10.5 and Vikings/Saints under 43.
Josh Allen is the betting favorite to win the MVP award. He has cashed this prop in the first half in all three games so far. Allen has to score three passing touchdowns to be the winner.
