Wimbledon Semi-Final: Medvedev vs. Alcaraz Betting Picks & Odds
The semifinals in the men’s draw at Wimbledon, one of the tennis main events of the year, is now set and includes four of the top-eight players in the world.
In one semi, Novak Djokovic, who had the shortest Wimbledon odds to open the tournament, takes on world No. 8 Jannik Sinner. Daniil Medvedev, who survived a five-set scare to end the magical run of American Christopher Eubanks in the quarters, takes on world No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz in the other semifinal.
Moneyline: Alcaraz, the top player in tennis standings, is a -289 favorite. Medvedev is a +198 underdog.
Spread: Alcaraz has a -4.5 (-110) games handicap in Alcaraz vs Medvedev betting picks, while Medvedev has +4.5 (-125).
Over/Under Total: The game’s total is 39.5, with both the over and under paying out -120.
Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz
Location of the game: All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club (Wimbledon)
Date & Time: July 14, 10:30 a.m. ET
How to Watch: ESPN and Fubo
Ahead of the Alcaraz vs Medvedev betting picks, the talented Russian player came back from a 2-1 set deficit to beat Eubanks 6-4, 1-6, 4-6, 7-6 (7-4), 6-1. Medvedev rode the strength of his serve, with 27 aces and winning 79 percent of points on first serve, en route to victory in 2 hours and 58 minutes.
Before his victory against Eubanks, Medvedev beat Jiri Lehecka, Marton Fucsovics, Adrian Mannarino, and Arthur Fery. He has been on court for 12 hours and nine minutes and played 166 games. Medvedev is 46-8 this season.
Medvedev is healthy heading into his match against Alcaraz.
- Medvedev is 1-1 in two career Alcaraz vs Medvedev betting picks matches.
- He lost to the world No. 1 earlier this season at Indian Wells, but scored a straight-set victory over Alcaraz at Wimbledon in 2021.
- Medvedev is 7-2 on grass this season and 50-21 in his career as bet on tennis picks should be safe.
Alcaraz won the Queen’s Club Championship in June and has continued to improve on grass, proving himself a versatile player capable of winning on all surfaces. He defeated Holger Rune 7-6 (7-3), 6-4, 6-4 in the quarter-final, winning 79 percent of points on his first serve and taking 2-of-3 break point opportunities. He also only gave up one break point chance on serve.
Alcaraz is healthy, but has been dealing with some injuries this season. He looked noticeably fatigued in his French Open semifinal loss to Djokovic, so there may be questions as to whether he can hold up in another Grand Slam, especially since he has been on the court 1 hour 39 minutes more than Medvedev.
- Alcaraz is 1-1 in two career matches against Medvedev.
- He’s 10-0 on grass this season and 14-2 in his career.
- Moneyline: Alcaraz -289
- Over/Under: Over -120
- Spread: Medvedev +4.5
This should be a close match with Wimbledon picks high. Medvedev, with his strong serving ability, should be able to hold serve but may struggle to break Alcaraz.
Expect at least a four-set battle with Medvedev covering the +4.5 games handicap. Alcaraz, however, should ultimately win the match and potentially set up a showdown with Djokovic in a must-see final.
- Pick: Medvedev +4.5
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