Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev US Open Final Pick 9/10/23

Novak Djokovic -4.5 games (-110) over Daniil Medvedev

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• Djokovic is much fresher than he was when he lost to Medvedev in the 2021 US Open final and will use that to his advantage here.
• Djokovic has won three of the four completed matches between these players since that 2021 US Open final, and he will get another win on the biggest stage here.

The 2023 US Open final is set, and it is a rematch of the final from 2021. Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev will once again do battle to decide who the king of New York is and who the last major champion in men’s tennis will be in 2023. In our tennis betting picks for Sunday, we break down Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev in the US Open final.

Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev Betting Pick

Djokovic -4.5 (-110) games over Medvedev

Why Bet On Novak Djokovic:

✅ Medvedev beat Djokovic in this final in 2021, but Djokovic was clearly exhausted from winning three majors already that year. We should see a fresher Djokovic in this match, which will allow his championship pedigree to shine through.

✅ Medvedev had to redline his game for several sets to beat Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinals, which will wear on him a bit going into this final match.

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev had a much tougher semifinal to get through than Novak Djokovic at this year’s US Open. He had to gut out a four-set win over Carlos Alcaraz, nearly faltering at the finish line in that fourth set. But Medvedev made it through, getting revenge on Alcaraz for their match at Wimbledon, and the Russian is now a win away from his second career major title.

For Medvedev, the first serve is so key to his success, and will be in this match. Djokovic is one of the few players on the planet who can out-defend Medvedev, but the Medvedev serve could generate enough free points to neutralize the Djokovic defense.

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic failed to lock down his 24th career major title at Wimbledon, falling in an epic five-setter against Carlos Alcaraz. But he has earned another chance at number 24 on Sunday, as he beat Ben Shelton in straight sets in the semifinals to set up this Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev clash. It also sets up a chance for Djokovic to get revenge on Medvedev for ruining the Serb’s calendar Grand Slam bid in 2021 in this same tournament.

For Djokovic, this match should look a lot different than that 2021 final did. Djokovic was clearly exhausted in that final against the Russian, but should be the fresher player here. That could ultimately make the difference in what should be a sensational final match.