US Open Semifinal: Alcaraz vs Medvedev Betting Picks

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07 September 2023

US Open Semifinal: Alcaraz vs Medvedev Betting Picks

The top three seeds, Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic, and Daniil Medvedev, are into the semifinals at the 2023 US Open, where they’re joined by 20-year-old American Ben Shelton. There’s plenty of intriguing storylines.

Shelton is vying to become the first American man to win the US Open, one of the four biggest tennis events, since Andy Roddick in 2003, and Djokovic can add to an already impressive legacy.

Alcaraz and Medvedev are playing in the other semifinal. Alcaraz can further cement his status as the future of the sport, and Medvedev is looking to regain Grand Slam glory at the site of his last Grand Slam win in 2021. Let’s take a look at the tennis odds and tennis predictions for Alcaraz vs Medvedev betting picks.

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev Odds

Moneyline: Alcaraz is a -350 favorite, and Medvedev is a +275 underdog in Friday’s semifinal match.
Spread: Alcaraz has a -5.5 (-110) games handicap.
Over/Under: The over/under games total is 37.5.
Other Bets: Other tennis odds for Alcaraz vs Medvedev betting picks include Alcaraz to win in straight sets (+162), the match to go four sets (+162), and total aces over/under 11.5.

Alcaraz vs. Medvedev Information

Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev

Location of the game: Arthur Ashe Stadium. New York, NY.

Date & Time: Friday, September 8. 3:00 p.m. ET

How to Watch: ESPN | Fubo

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev Analysis

Carlos Alcaraz Performance Recap and Analysis

Alcaraz has continued his impressive play following Wimbledon, where he defeated Djokovic in the final to win his second Grand Slam.

Although he lost a rematch to Djokovic in the final of the Cincinnati Masters two weeks ago, he hasn’t let that affect his confidence, dropping only one set through his first five matches in New York. He was especially dominant in the quarter-final against Alex Zverev, making the Olympic gold medalist look ordinary.

Alcaraz beat Zverev 6-3, 6-2, 6-4. He made the most of his breakpoint opportunities, going 4-for-4, while Zverev was 0-for-5 in chances to break Alcaraz. His return game was great as well, limiting Zverev to just a 33 percent win rate on his second serve.

Key Injuries

Alcaraz has dealt with minor injuries in the past, missing the start of the 2023 season, but has a clean bill of health heading into Friday’s semifinal.

Betting Trends to Know

Alcaraz has spent 11 hours and six minutes through five matches at the US Open.
He is 9-1 in his last ten matches and 21-3 on hard courts this season.
He beat the Russian at Wimbledon and Indian Wells earlier this year, while Medvedev won their first match at Wimbledon in 2021.

Daniil Medvedev Performance Recap and Analysis

There’s no doubt Medvedev is a worthy opponent for Alcaraz. While the tennis world may be clamoring for another Djokovic-Alcaraz Grand Slam final, Medvedev’s tennis stats have been great through five matches, and he has already proven himself capable of winning big matches in front of New York crowds, winning the US Open in 2021. He has lost just two sets through five matches this time around.

Medvedev is 54-11 this season, including 32-5 on hard courts. He made a statement in his quarter-final match against Andrey Rublev, beating his fellow Russian 6-4, 6-3, 6-4.

Key Injuries

Medvedev is healthy ahead of Alcaraz vs Medvedev betting picks. He has, however, played a lot this season, and one has to imagine that wear and tear will eventually affect his performance.

Betting Trends to Know

Medvedev is 1-2 in three career matches against Alcaraz.
He’s 8-2 in his last ten matches and has spent 12 hours and 26 minutes on the court in the US Open.

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Daniil Medvedev Betting Picks

Medvedev should give Alcaraz his toughest challenge yet but don’t expect him to knock off the world No. 1, who is somehow looking even better and more confident than he did at Wimbledon.