Win Totals to Bet This Season

For NFL bettors looking to have wagers that are impacted all season long, futures bets are great investments to make. One type of futures bet to make prior to kick-off on September 7 are NFL win totals. These bets allow you to bet on a team to finish with more or less wins than the total set at sportsbooks. Which teams will go over or under their win total projections? Read on for our top three win total predictions here.

NFL Win Totals 2023

In the NFL win total odds for 2023, six teams come in with win totals lined in double-digits. Each of San Francisco, Baltimore, Buffalo, Cincinnati and Dallas are lined at 10.5, while the Kansas City Chiefs have the highest total at 11.5. Even at that high total, oddsmakers are expecting them to exceed that total with the Over juiced to -140 odds. On the other end of the spectrum, are the Arizona Cardinals who have the lowest win total at 3.5 but are favored to go Over that total at -145 odds.

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NFL Over/Under Predictions

Below we’ve picked out three teams to target in season-long NFL win totals predictions. Wondering how to bet the NFL over/under win total for these teams? Read on to find out.

Arizona Cardinals Win Totals Picks

The oddsmakers at DraftKings are setting the line at 3.5 wins for Arizona this season in NFL win totals betting. But even to get to one win, much less four, they’d need to upset the odds. The Cardinals opened the season lined as underdogs in all 17 games when lines came out in May. In 14 of those 17 games they were underdogs of four points or more.

If, anything sentiments are shifting more negative on the Cardinals as earlier in the August in the NFL win total odds, Arizona had a total of 4.5 at DraftKings.

New head coach Jonathan Gannon steps in this season in his first year as a head coach coming over from Philadelphia where he was their defensive coordinator. The Cards also have a new offensive coordinator in Drew Petzing who was previously with the Browns as their quarterbacks coach. He’ll be working in a new system for Arizona’s offense without the services of starting QB Kyler Murray who is recovering from a torn ACL. Murray could be out for much of or even the entire season. The Cards also lost star WR DeAndre Hopkins who was released and signed by the Titans.

Not that Colt McCoy was going to be the savior, but he too has also been released which leaves either Josh Dobbs who was only signed in late August or fifth-round rookie Clayton Tune in line to be the starter in Murray’s absence.

Arizona made no effort to improve this offseason trading down in the draft and will be fielding the second-cheapest defense in the entire league—one that is littered with rookies, undrafted free agents and veteran journeymen. It will be a huge task for new defensive coordinator Nick Rallis, previously the linebackers coach with the Eagles, to get much out of this group.

Arzona can’t even lean on home field advantage as in recent years, since 2018, they are an abysmal 11-29-1 SU and 16-25 ATS at State Farm Stadium.

Despite the already low expecatation, we’ll still back the Under for our NFL Over/Under predictions for the Cardinals this season.

• NFL Win Total Pick: Arizona Cardinals Under 3.5 Wins (+120)

Los Angeles Chargers Win Totals Picks

The Chargers were 10-7 last season and it was just the second time in 13 years that they hit double-digit wins. Oddsmakers have set the Chargers’ right at that mark at 9.5 in the win totals with the Over favored at -125 odds. They’re second favorites in the NFL Division odds to win the AFC West.

Los Angeles struggled with injuries last season with Keenean Allen, JC Jackson, Rashawn Slater and Joey Bosa all missing significant time. Justin Herbert was also hobbled with a rib injury for much of the season but powered through. Then in Week 18, Mike Williams suffered a back injury in a meaningless game that forced him to miss out in the Wild Card Playoffs versus Jacksonville where the Chargers blew a 27-0 lead and lost 31-30.

Somehow head coach Brandon Staley kept his job but it feels like this could be a make or break year. Offensive coordinator Joe Lombardi did not, and Kellen Moore comes in as the new OC. Considering Herbert ranked 31st in air yards under Lombardi, he should improve under Moore if he’s allowed to spread the ball around more.

Still, the Chargers’ offense was potent last year ranking 12th in points per game and third in passing yards per game. Defensively they were strong versus the pass (7th) but got shredded on the ground ranking 27th.

LA is currently favored in 12 games this season if you look at the season-long lookahead lines and they’re only slated to face the 14th toughest NFL strength of schedule. So it seems like barring another season of injures to key players and some improvement defending the run, it lines up to see them go Over the total of 9.5.

• NFL Win Total Pick: Los Angeles Chargers Over 9.5 Wins (-125)

Denver Broncos Win Totals Picks

The Broncos were 5-12 last season and come in with the tenth-hardest schedule for the 2023/24 season. They’re lined at 8.5 in this years NFL win totals.

Despite boasting a strong defense that ranked 12th in passing yards allowed per game, 10th in rushing and 12th in points allowed per game, their offense let them down being 19th in passing, 21st in rushing and dead-last 32nd in points scored per game. Denver scored an average of just 16.9 points.

Denver’s biggest addition was new head coach Sean Payton who replaces Nathaniel Hackett. While they made some good additions to the offensive line in Mike McGlinchey and Ben Powers, WR KJ Hamler was waived with a heart condition, LB Jonas Griffith was lost with a torn ACL and WR Tim Patrick who missed last season with an ACL injury of his own, is now out for this season with a torn Achilles.

Any improvement this season is contingent on the expectation that Sean Payton will make better play-calling decisions than Hackett, the defense stays above average and Russell Wilson improves. The first two are possible. The third is a big question mark. Wilson threw only 16 TDs to go with 11 INTs last season. That was his lowest TD total of his career and the second-most interceptions he has ever thrown in a season.

Wilson very well could be washed and the Broncos were just 1-5 in the the ultra-competitive AFC West last season. They also haven’t won nine or more games in the past six seasons. Even if they do improve from last season, an improvement of four wins looks unlikely.

• NFL Win Total Pick: Denver Broncos Under 8.5 Wins (-110)

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