Yankees vs. Astros odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Thursday, June 23 best bets from proven model

Yankees and Astros are playing a four-game series at Yankee Stadium starting on Thursday. The Yankees are 51-18 and have a 12-games-lead in the AL East. Houston is 43-25 and own a 10- games-leverage in AL West. New York is a -125 money-line favorite and Houston a +105 underdog. SportsLine's advanced computer model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It's on a 56-47 roll on top-rated MLB money line picks through 11 weeks.

Yankees vs. Houston Astros is Thursday, June 23. The Yankees are a favorite at -125, while the Astros are +105. SportsLine's model has made its picks and MLB predictions.

Yankees vs. Astros is Thursday, June 23. Yankees are a favorite at New York -125, while Houston is a slight favorite of +105. The total has gone over in four of the last five games the Yankees have played as a favourite. Houston has won 8 of its last 10 road games.

Yankees are playing the Houston Astros on Thursday. Yordan Alvarez is one of the league's best hitters with 21 home runs, 51 RBIs and a 1.064 OPS. Framber Valdez is having another impressive season with a 7-3 record, a 2.78 ERA and 68 strikeouts over 81 innings. Current Yankees hitters have hit .199 in their careers against Valdes.

The Yankees have won 17 of their last 20 games and are leading the American League in both runs scored and team ERA. Six of the Yankees' players have an OPS+ above league average. All five of starting pitchers have ERA of 3.27 or less. Aroldis Chapman, Jonathan Loaisiga and Chad Green are injured.

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total and projects 8.7 combined runs for Yankees vs. Astros. One side of the money line has all the value.