Yankees vs. Astros odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Thursday, June 30 best bets from proven model

Yankees travel to play the Houston Astros on Thursday at 6:10 p.m. ET. The Yankees are the money-line favorite at Caesars Sportsbook. Houston is a +105 underdog. Luis Severino is starting for New York and Luis Garcia is on the mound for Houston. SportsLine's model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it's on a 59-51 run on top-rated MLB money line picks through 12 weeks.

Yankees vs. Astros is a Thursday game. The money line is New York -125, Houston -105. Houston is 22-7 in their last 29 Thursday games. Yankees are 6-0 in the last six Thursday matches.

Yankees vs. Astros money line is New York -125, Houston +105. The over-under is 8 runs. Houston is 22-7 in their last 29 Thursday games. Yankees are 6-0 in last six Thursday matches.

Kyle Tucker is a right fielder with good hands and home run power. Alex Bregman is third baseman with great bat speed and good contact. Bremman also is versatile defender with an accurate throwing arm.

Giancarlo Stanton has big-time power and good pitch recognition skills. DJ LeMahieu is batting .262 with seven home runs and 31 RBIs. Le Mahieu went 2-for-3 with two singles and two runs scored last time out.

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total and projects 8.8 combined runs. One side of the money line has all the value.