Broncos vs. Bills line, odds and predictions: Our experts like Buffalo to beat Denver

Fresh off their bye and a victory over the defending Super Bowl champions, the Denver Broncos aim to score a second straight upset as heavy underdogs in a matchup with the Buffalo Bills. It will be Buffalo’s third consecutive prime-time game. The Bills have won five of their previous six meetings with the Broncos, including the last three.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday at Highmark Stadium. The game will be televised on ABC, ESPN and ESPN2.

Considered pre-season Super Bowl contenders and a lock for the playoffs, the Bills sit at 5-4 and second in the AFC East. If the season ended today, they’d be outside the playoffs. So what’s wrong with the Bills?

Buffalo is still one of the highest-scoring teams in the league, averaging over 26 points a game, but the offense has warts. They’ve struggled to get going early on, combining for just 27 first-half points in the past four games, failing to score a first-half touchdown in two games. They haven’t run the ball as efficiently as last year, averaging more than 30 fewer yards per game (139.5 to 108.1).

It’s not just on the running backs, either. While Josh Allen has already met last year’s rushing touchdown total with six, he’s been less productive on the ground. Allen had 11 games over 40 rushing yards last season and just three this year. He’s also throwing a lot of interceptions, tied with Mac Jones, Sam Howell and Jimmy Garoppolo for the league lead with nine.

Russell Wilson has bounced back from his nightmare 2022 season, already matching the 16 touchdown passes he threw last year, and has only thrown four interceptions. Denver has only one rushing touchdown, but is just outside the top 10 in rushing yards per game with 116.8. They’ll have to use the running game to keep the Bills offense off the field to pull off the upset. Denver is tied with Carolina for the most points allowed per game (28.3), while Buffalo allows the fifth-fewest (17.8).

All odds from BetMGM. Looking for NFL tickets? Buy them here.