Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants Public Betting Trends for Monday Night Football

The New York Giants (2-0, 1-0 home) are one of only three unbeaten teams remaining in the NFL. New York will put its undefeated record on the line on Monday Night Football, when it hosts division rival Dallas (1-1, 0-0 away). Public money as of Monday afternoon is backing the Giants to go to 3-0 after Week 3.

Despite their surprising start, the advanced analytics community is not buying the G-Men. The Giants rank just 16th in overall DVOA, and 20th on the defensive side of the ball. That explains why they’re only 1-point favorites ahead of a Cowboys team led by Cooper Rush.

Dallas is usually a public darling, but it appears casual bettors are not rushing to the window to back Rush as a short underdog. New York is garnering the majority of the tickets and money to cover the spread in the NFL public betting trends, ahead of tonight’s matchup.

Cowboys vs Giants Betting Splits

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The Giants opened up as 4.5-point favorites, but that number has come down by 3.5 points. At the current -1 line, 57% of the against the spread wagers and 57% of the money bet on the spread is backing the G-Men.

Cowboys vs Giants Betting Splits Against the Spread

The exact same percentages for the ATS bets and ATS handle indicates the sharps really haven’t taken a stand on this game at the current number. Big-money bettors were likely behind the initial line move that saw the number fall 3.5 points, but they likely don’t see any value on the Cowboys now.

It’s worth noting that Dallas has absolutely owned New York over the last handful of years. The Cowboys are 9-1 straight up in their last 10 meetings versus the Giants, and 8-2 against the spread.

Rush is 2-0 both straight up and against the spread as a starting quarterback, while New York is just 3-5 ATS as a favorite in the Daniel Jones era. Judging by those numbers, Dallas looks like the play in the Cowboys vs Giants picks.

Cowboys vs Giants Total

The contest is one of the lowest totaled games on the Week 3 slate, and the number is down a point since it opened at 40. Currently sitting at 39 points, the over is drawing 62% of the over/under bets, and 61% of the money wagered on the total.

Both of these teams are 2-0 to the under to start the season, and there shouldn’t be much optimism for a high-scoring game. The Cowboys defense ranks sixth per DVOA, and has held Joe Burrow and the Bengals, and Tom Brady and the Buccaneers to only one touchdown a piece through two weeks. Consider fading Saquon Barkley, New York’s most explosive player, as noted in the Cowboys vs Giants props.

The Giants wide receiver corps on the other hand is decimated in the Cowboys vs Giants injury report, while Jones has absorbed eight sacks in just 63 dropbacks. Needless to say, New York’s offensive projection is bleak.

On the other side of the ball, Dallas has averaged only 20 points in Rush’s two starts, while the Giants have held Tennessee and Carolina to 20 and 16 points respectively.

Cowboys vs Giants Moneyline

New York is drawing the majority of the moneyline action as of right now with 57% of the tickets and 69% of the handle on them.

Before racing to the window to bet the G-Men however, consider the following. New York has beaten the Titans, who look nothing like a contender, and the Panthers who are rebuilding. Dallas on the other hand has faced two teams that have made it all the way to the Super Bowl in the past two years.

The Giants graded out last in the Football Outsiders preseason projections, and are a bottom-11 defense per Pro Football Focus in coverage, against the run, and in pass rush productivity.