Dolphins vs. Bills prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NFL playoff picks, best bets by expert on 26-14 roll

Buffalo Bills host Miami Dolphins in the 2023 NFL playoffs on CBS and Paramount+. The AFC East rivals split their two regular-season meetings. Miami won 11-6 against the Jets in Week 18, but they are without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Buffalo has won seven in a row and beat the Patriots 35-23 last Sunday. Expert Mike Hartstein is a former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers and an analytical expert for Pro Football Focus. Hartstien is 427-344 all-time on NFL side picks and 394-330 against spread.

Hartstein has revealed his expert picks and predictions for Dolphins vs. Bills. Dolphins are 21-13-2 against the spread in division games over the past five seasons. Buffalo is 34-23-4 ATS as favorites under Sean McDermott.

Dolphins vs. Bills is a division game. Dolphins are 21-13-2 against the spread in division games over the past five seasons. Buffalo is 34-23-4 ATS as favorites under Sean McDermott since 2017.

Buffalo is the largest favorite since the Wild Card round began. The Dolphins are 3-7-1 ATS in their past 11 visits to Buffalo. Buffalo has won eight of the past nine meetings by a combined score of 309-173. The Bills have the NFL's second-best overall offense (398 yards per game) and the second in scoring offense and scoring defense (28.4 points per contest). The Miami Dolphins allow 23.5 points a game (24th).

The Dolphins have one of the best offenses in the NFL. Miami is 5-1 ATS in division games this season. The Dolphins blitz at the second-highest rate (38%) and have 40 sacks. They also rank fourth against the run, yielding 103 yards per game.

Hartstein is sharing his Bills vs. Dolphins pick and his expert analysis at SportsLine. He's leaning under on the point total and over on one side of the spread.