Diamondbacks vs. Pirates odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

08 July 2023

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates odds, tips and betting trends

The Arizona Diamondbacks (51-38) will host the Pittsburgh Pirates (40-48), Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, with the Pirates on a three-game losing skid.

The Pirates are an underdog (+114 moneyline odds to win) when they take the field at the Diamondbacks (-133). The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Arizona Diamondbacks looking to Kyle Nelson (4-1), and Mitch Keller (9-4) answering the bell for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Yesterday, the Diamondbacks picked up a 7-3 win over the Pirates, with Zac Gallen (7.0 IP, 1 R, 4 H, 5 K) registering the win for the Diamondbacks. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. finished 3-for-4 with two doubles, a home run and four RBI to lead the offensive showing. Rich Hill (4.0 IP, 5 R, 7 H, 3 K) was handed the loss for the Pirates.

Before the Diamondbacks vs. Pirates matchup, here is what you need to prepare for Saturday’s baseball action, including viewing options.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds and Betting Lines

Tipico Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 3:19 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Favorite: Diamondbacks (-133, bet $133 to win $100)
Underdog: Pirates (+114, bet $100 to win $114)
Over/under: 8.5

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Diamondbacks Stats and Trends

Diamondbacks Betting Records

The Diamondbacks have been favorites in 41 games this season and won 27 (65.9%) of those contests.
This season Arizona has won 20 of its 27 games, or 74.1%, when favored by at least -133 on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 57.1% chance to win.
Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 41 of its 89 chances.
The Diamondbacks are 54-35-0 against the spread in their 89 chances this season.

Kyle Nelson (Diamondbacks Probable Starter)

Nelson will start for the Diamondbacks, his first this season.
The 26-year-old lefty has pitched out of the bullpen 38 times this season.
In 38 games this season, he has a 2.76 ERA and 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while opponents are batting .256 against him.
The Pirates have MLB’s 25th-ranked scoring offense (373 total runs) and have put up a .240 batting average as a team while hitting 80 home runs (26th in the league) this season.

Diamondbacks Batting Stats

The Diamondbacks’ 103 home runs rank 12th in Major League Baseball.
Hitters for Arizona rank sixth in the majors with a combined .430 team slugging percentage.
The Diamondbacks’ .260 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking sixth in MLB.
Arizona has scored the sixth-most runs in the majors this season with 444.
The Diamondbacks have an OBP of .327 this season, which ranks 10th in MLB.
Arizona has shown patience at the plate this season with the fourth-best rate of strikeouts per game (7.7) among MLB offenses.

Pirates Stats and Trends

Pirates Betting Records

The Pirates have been underdogs in 68 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (41.2%) in those contests.
Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 23-28 when favored by +114 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 46.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 44 of 88 chances this season.
The Pirates have an against the spread record of 40-48-0 in 88 games with a line this season.

Mitch Keller (Pirates Probable Starter)

Keller tries for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Pirates, his 19th of the season. He is 9-4 with a 3.52 ERA and 125 strikeouts in 110 2/3 innings pitched.
The righty’s last appearance was on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he went five innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up eight hits.
Over 18 games this season, the 27-year-old has a 3.52 ERA and 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .232 to opposing batters.
Keller is looking to secure his 12th quality start of the year in this matchup.
Keller is seeking his 18th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per start.
In two of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
He will face a Diamondbacks offense that ranks seventh in the league with 785 total hits (on a .260 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .430 (sixth in the league) with 103 total home runs (12th in MLB play).
Keller has a 3 ERA and a 0.5 WHIP against the Diamondbacks this season in six innings pitched, allowing a .143 batting average over one appearance.
The 27-year-old’s 3.52 ERA ranks 29th, 1.145 WHIP ranks 25th, and 10.2 K/9 ranks 15th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Pirates Batting Stats

The Pirates are fifth-worst in MLB play with 80 home runs.
So far this year, Pittsburgh’s .389 slugging percentage is 25th in the majors.
The Pirates are 21st in the majors with a .240 batting average.
Averaging 4.2 runs per game (373 total), Pittsburgh is the 25th-highest scoring team in MLB.
The Pirates’ .317 on-base percentage ranks 19th in baseball.

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