Steelers vs. Texans Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 4: Will Stroud Continue Streak?

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30 September 2023

Steelers vs. Texans Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 4: Will Stroud Continue Streak?

Our Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Houston Texans predictions are based on the best NFL odds, and we're analyzing whether quarterback C.J. Stroud can continue to impress against the formidable Steelers defense.

The Steelers and Texans have faced each other seven times before. Pittsburgh emerged victorious in five of those seven encounters, all decided by at least seven points, with four of them having a margin of at least 18 points.

The Steelers have won their last two games, including a recent road victory over the Las Vegas Raiders. Furthermore, they have won each of their last five road matchups, conceding fewer than 20 points in each game.

The Texans' 37-17 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 3 marked their first win by a 20-point margin in four years.

Here is our best Pittsburgh Steelers vs. HoustonTexans prediction and NFL picks (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a1-to-5-star scale).

Steelers vs. Texans prediction

C.J. Stroud Over 235.5passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud is the first player in NFL historyto have at least 900 passing yards and no interceptions in his first threecareer starts. Deshaun Watson is the only other Houston QB to have 900-plus yards and no interceptionsover any three-start span.

Texans wide receiver Tank Dell is a beneficiary of that NFL record. Dell has 251 receiving yards and two touchdownsthis season. He's the first Houston player all-time with 250-plus yards receivingand multiple TD catches over his first three games.

Heading into Week 4, the Steelers’ defenseranks in the bottom 10 in passing yards allowed (706). Thataverages just over 235 passing yards per game, but it gave up 324 yards in its first road matchup of the season to Raiders QB Jimmy Garoppolo last weekend.

Houston ranks 30th inrushing, averaging just 70 yards per game. Stroud is an early contenderfor Offensive Rookie of the Year, repaying the Texans for the faith they put intheir second overall draft pick. Pittsburgh's D will be a test, but Stroud isrolling and should feel himself in front of the home crowd. With the rungame virtually non-existent, expect the rookie to continue driving his offensethrough the air.

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Steelers vs. Texans best odds

The line is set at 222.5 for Steelers signal-caller Kenny Pickett,which shows the early impact Stroud has on the league. Most of our best sports betting apps set the line at 239.5 passing yardsfor Stroud, which dropped from 240.5 on Thursday. FanDuel and bet365 are the exception, gifting us four yards at 235.5. Bet365's odds are more favorable at -110.

Stroud averages over 300 passing YPG, and against the Jaguars he didn’t slow down when they had thelead. Houston’s roster is inferior to Pittsburgh's; it might be chasingthe game in this contest. The Texans’ passing game will be called into actiononce more.