Texans vs. Jaguars Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 3: Collins Continues Hot Start

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22 September 2023

Texans vs. Jaguars Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 3: Collins Continues Hot Start

The Houston Texans visit the Jacksonville Jaguars Sunday afternoon, as we make our top Texans vs. Jaguars predictions based on the Week 3 NFL odds from our best sports betting apps.

The 0-2 Houston Texans and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud visit the 1-1 Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday, as the two AFC South foes meet for the first time of the season.

Both clubs are coming off home losses, with Jacksonville losing 17-9 to the Kansas City Chiefs, and Houston striking out in a 31-20 loss to the Indianapolis Colts.

Jacksonville remains the betting favorite to win the division, and the Jags are also a sizable favorite over Houston in Week 3.

To accompany your NFL best bets for Week 3, hereis our best Texans vs. Jaguars prediction and our NFL picks (odds via our bestNFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a1-to-5-star scale).

Texans vs.Jaguars prediction

Nico Collins Over 53.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Whenthis line opened with the Jaguars favored by 9.5 points, they seemed like the obviousplay. However, with the public showing overwhelming support for the home team and the line moving in favor of the Texans, this is a stay-away. Last year the Texans defeated the Jags 13-6 in Jacksonville.

One thing we're certain of after two games is the Texans’ passing attack.Their run blocking is so bad that running back Dameon Pierce never has a chance to gainyards when he gets the ball. When you mix a weak O-line with a teamthat's always playing from behind, you get fantastic air production.

Throughtwo weeks, Houston wide receiver Nico Collins saw 20 targets. He hauled in 13 catches for 226yards and averages 17.4 yards per reception. He's recorded at least 80yards in both matchups this season, and we don’t see any way that changes thisweek.

Collins’previous career numbers are the only reason this prop line is so low. However,with Stroud, this is essentially a brand-new player. Entering the week, Stroudhad the NFL's third-most passing attempts. In what should be another contestwhere his team plays from behind, expect him to throw the ball a lot,especially to his favorite target.

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Texans vs.Jaguars best odds

Fourof the five best sports betting apps have a total of 53.5 yards listed. While FanDuel offers a total of 50.5, the price of -130 is way too high for just threeyards.

Thebest price of any of the best sports betting sites offering 53.5 is at bet365, so wager there. However, keep an eye on FanDuel's line. If it goesup to 51.5 or 52.5 for a price of -115 or better, then it becomes the bestplace for this bet.

Texans vs.Jaguars odds

TheJaguars opened as 9.5-point favorites, and despite 77% of wagers backing them,the line dropped to -8.5. It really doesn’t make sense, but signals oddsmakers have much less faith in Jacksonville than the public does. Maybe this number will climb back to 9, but it seems like key numbers are outof the equation ahead of Sunday’s game.

Asfor the total, the number opened at 44.5, and it either moved or dropped to44 at each of the major sportsbooks. More than of 53% of wagers back the Over, but thatisn’t enough support for any serious movement. Whatever side you're on,don’t expect much change one way or the other before kickoff.