UFC Fight Night 224 Picks & Aspinall vs. Tybura Predictions

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UFC Fight Night 224 Picks & Aspinall vs. Tybura Predictions

This weekend marks another edition of UFC Fight Night 224 inLondon with Saturday’s event taking place at the O2 arena in London. Tom Aspinall and Marcin Tybura headline the heavyweight main event, and the bout marks the return of Aspinall who hasn’t fought since a year ago. 

Aspinall suffered an injury in his loss to Curtis Blaydes and remained out since. Before the loss, he had a 5-0 record in the UFC and has a 12-3 professional MMA record. Tybura has won his last two matches and seven of his last eight. Fighting in his home country, Aspinall will be the crowd favorite. Expect a raucous environment as the English cheer on the return of their fellow countrymen. These types of hometown matches are unique for UFC fans to follow and make for a fun betting opportunity. 

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UFC Fight Night: Tom Aspinall vs. Marcin Tybura Silva Odds and UFC Best Bets

How To Watch UFC Fight Night 224 London

  • �� UFC Fight Night: Tom Aspinall vs. Marcin Tybura
  • �� Date: July 22, 2023 
  • �� Time: 3 PM ET
  • �� Location: O2 Arena, London
  • �� TV Channel: ESPN+
  • �� Main Event: Tom Aspinall vs. Marcin Tybura
  • �� Main Event: Tom Aspinall (12-3) vs. Marcin Tybura (24-7)

The main event for UFC Fight Night 224 in London features Tom Aspinall taking on Marcia Tybura. currently has Aspinall as a -500 favorite, while Tybura is a +360 underdog.

UFC Fight Night 224 Main Event: The Fighters

Tom Aspinall was on a dominant stretch before his injury to Blaydes. He won his first five matches and ended all of them early. Aspinall recorded three knockouts and two submission victories, with four of the five finishes coming in the first round. He lands 66% of his strikes and has landed 111 significant strikes in the UFC. 

Aspinall averages 7.41 significant strikes landed per minute and defends significant strikes at a 64% rate. His average fight time is 2 minutes and 30 seconds. He’s known for dominating opponents with his stand-up, where he spends 57% of his time in the octagon. Aspinall likes to target the head area with 65% of his strikes going there. Elsewhere, 20% of his strikes go at the legs, and 15% are aimed at the body. 

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Marcin "Tybur" Tybura is a veteran Polish fighter who has been a pro since 2011. He has a record of 24 wins and seven losses. Of his 24 victories, 10 came in the first round. He has nine wins by knockout and six by submission. 

Tybura has a striking accuracy of 49% and a takedown accuracy of 24%. He lands 3.55 strikes per minute and absorbs 3.31. His average fight time is 12:40 He has a balanced way of earning his victories with nine coming by knockout (41%), seven by decision (32%) and six by submission (27%). Tybura mostly aims for the head with 66% of his strikes landing there, and with 20% and the body and 15% going for the legs.

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UFC Fight Night London Best Bets: Tom Aspinall vs. Marcin Tybura Odds & Picks

Saturday could be the start of a massive run by Aspinall. He was on a roll before he got hurt and showed he has the potential to become a star in the heavyweight division. Jon Jones and Stipe Miocic will be fighting for the heavyweight title in November, but with their long-term future remaining uncertain, it could leave space for a fighter like Aspinall to make a name for himself. 

Of course that would need to start with a win on Saturday. Aspinall has a background in boxing, wrestling and has a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu. His versatility, and the added motivation around his return and fighting in front of a home crowd will give him an advantage against Tybura. Aspinall opened as a -450 favorite, but that line has now gone up to -500 at .

Three of Aspinall’s five finishes have come by knockout and it’s a method of victory I’d look to back once again when he faces Tybura. Out of Tybura’s six losses in the UFC, three have come by knockout with the other three occurring via decision. Motivated by the home crowd, I’d expect Aspinall to come out with a lot of energy and look to score a knockoutat BetMGM Sportsbook.

Out of Aspinall’s six fights in the UFC, five have ended in the first round. I’d look to target the under 1.5 rounds  at FanDuel Sportsbook. 

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UFC Fight Night 224 London Main Card

The main card for UFC Fight Night London has numerous other exciting matches. In addition to the main event between Tom Aspinall and Marcin Tybura, there are other fights with promising potential. 

  • Tom Aspinall vs. Marcin Tybura
  • Molly McCann vs. Julija Stoliarenko
  • Nathaniel Wood vs. Andre Fili
  • Paul Craig vs. Andre Munizz
  • Jai Herbert vs. Fares Ziam

The fight between Molly McCann and Julija Stoliarenko is worth watching. Both fighters are looking to bounce back from losses and continue to rise in the women’s flyweight division. 

Another interesting bout is between Paul Craig and Andre Muniz. Craig is ranked No. 9 in the middleweight division, while Muniz is currently at No. 14. Be sure to check in later in the week for more information and betting opportunities for these fights and the rest of the UFC London Fight Night card.

Paul Craig vs. Andre Muniz Odds, Picks & UFC Best Bets

Paul Craig and Andre Muniz are set to compete in a matchup with significant middleweight ranking implications. Craig has lost two straight fights and is known for being able to score quick victories. Of his 16 professional wins, 11 have come in the first round. 

Muniz is also coming off a loss but had won his last four matches before the defeat in February. He’s a tactician on the ground. Of his seven wins, four have come via submission with three of those coming from the armbar. Despite being the lower-ranked fighter, Muniz is the favorite on the betting boards. He is -225 to win at BetMGM Sportsbook, while Craig is at +185.

It may be worth it to back Muniz and go against a fading Craig. In his first-round knockout loss to Johnny Walker in January, Craig landed just three strikes before losing. His unanimous decision loss to Volkan Oezdemir wasn’t much better with Oezdemir holding a 72-33 strikes advantage. 

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As we look forward to the thrilling UFC Fight Night 223 in London, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. Come this September, Kentucky will be launching online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky sportsbooks. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, DC, IL, IN, LA, MD, MS, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY) Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Must be 21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Visit BetMGM.com for T&Cs. US promotional offers not available in KS, MS, NV or NY.

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