UFC Fight Night 232: Hooper vs. Leavitt odds, picks and predictions

In a 3-round lightweight bout on the main card, Chase Hooper and Jordan Leavitt meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 232 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 90 and UFC Vegas 82 — at the UFC APEX. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 232: Hooper vs. Leavitt odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ starting at 2 p.m. ET, while the main card begins on ESPN+ at 5 p.m. ET.

Records: Hooper (12-3-1) | Leavitt (11-2-0)

Hooper, the 24-year-old rising star, already has cut his teeth in 7 fights at the UFC level. The southpaw has alternated wins and losses in each of his 7 outings, winning last time out via unanimous decision against Nick Fiore in late May. He has had 4 fights finish inside the distance since his arrival at the UFC level in Dec. 2019, winning twice via KO/TKO, losing once by way of knockout, and winning via submission at UFC 256.

Leavitt, a.k.a. “The Monkey King”, made quick work of Victor Martinez last time out in late February. It was a nice bounce back after getting tapped by Paddy Pimblett in late July 2022. He has managed 4 victories in 6 bouts at the UFC level, with 2 fights going the distance.

Hooper holds a 5.00-to-2.64 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, although the challenger is much more accurate at 74.03% to just 61.21% for the favorite. Leavitt has a solid 2.31 takedown average, although Hooper has managed a very nice 2.12 submission average at the UFC level.

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UFC Fight Night 232: Chase Hooper vs. Jordan Leavitt odds

FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:52 a.m. ET.

UFC Fight Night 232: Chase Hooper vs. Jordan Leavitt picks and predictions

Hooper (-215) is a risky play, not only because he has alternated wins and losses in each of his 7 UFC fights, but he will cost you more than 2 times your return betting him straight up on the 2-way line.

Instead, target HOOPER BY POINTS (+160) in the method of victory section for a much better value. He has ended up going the distance in 3 of his past 6 fights, winning last time out via unanimous decision.

OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-154) isn’t priced out of line, and betting it gives you a little bit of wiggle room just in case there is a late 3rd-round finish. YES (-122): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is the better play, especially if you like Hooper to win by points.