UFC Fight Night 228: Mitchell vs. Ige odds, picks and predictions

In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Bryce Mitchell and Dan Ige meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 228 — also known as UFC Vegas 79 — at UFC Apex. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s around the UFC Fight Night 228: Mitchell vs. Ige odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ starting at 4 p.m. ET with the main card following on ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET.

Records: Mitchell (15-2-0) | Ige (17-6-0)

Mitchell is looking to bounce back after a 2nd-round submission loss against Ilia Topuria at UFC 282 last time out in Dec. 2022. That stunning setback snapped a 6-bout win streak, including his first 5 fights at the UFC level. He had gone the distance in the 3 previous fights before tapping out against Topuria.

Ige has fought his way back from a 3-bout losing streak, all via unanimous decision, to pick up a KO/TKO win over Damon Jackson in January and a unanimous-decision victory over Nate Landwehr last time out at UFC 289 in June.

The southpaw Mitchell is 4 years younger than Ige, while the underdog holds a 1-inch reach advantage. Ige also has a 3.96-to-2.48 significant strikes landed per minute edge. While that is impressive, Mitchell has managed a tremendous 71.96% significant strikes accuracy percentage to just 50.03% for Ige.

Mitchell is much more proficient in the takedown game, too, posting a 3.26 takedown average, and 44.19% takedown accuracy percentage. He also has an overwhelming 1.71-to-0.31 submission average advantage over Ige.

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UFC Fight Night 228: Bryce Mitchell vs. Dan Ige odds

FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:55 a.m. ET.

UFC Fight Night 228: Bryce Mitchell vs. Dan Ige picks and predictions

Mitchell (-205) will cost you just a little over 2 times your potential return, and that’s just a little too much for my liking. My personal limit for a standalone moneyline play is -180, although if you tossed the favorite into a multi-fighter parlay, it wouldn’t be the end of the world.

However, METHOD OF VICTORY:MITCHELL BY POINTS (-105) is a much better value at almost even money. He has gone the distance in 3 of his past 4 fights, and 5 of the past 7 outings overall, winning all 5 of those bouts.

Ige is just 3-4 in the past 7 fights overall, but he has made the opposition work, going the distance in 4 of the past 5 fights, and 5 of the past 7, with unanimous-decision losses in 4 of those 5 bouts.

Over 2.5 Rounds (-235) and Yes: Will the fight go the distance (-196) are each quite costly. Like betting Mitchell straight up on the 2-way line, I could live with playing Yes: Will the fight go the distance, if you were able to include it as part of a multi-part parlay. AVOID, if you’re considering just playing it as a singular bet.