UFC Fight Night 233: Smith vs. Rountree Jr. odds, picks and predictions

In a 3-round light heavyweight bout on the main card, Anthony Smith and Khalil Rountree Jr. meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 233 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 91 and UFC Vegas 83 — at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s around the UFC Fight Night 233: Smith vs. Rountree Jr. odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ starting at 7:30 p.m. ET, while the main card begins on ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET.

Records: Smith (37-18-0) | Rountree Jr. (13-5-0)

Smith picked up a split-decision win against Ryan Spann last time out in late August, halting a 2-bout losing streak. He lost via unanimous decision against Johnny Walker in the prior fight, and he was dropped in a 2nd-round KO/TKO against Magomed Ankalaev before that. He has finished inside the distance in 4 of his past 6 fights, however.

Rountree Jr. posted a 1st-round KO/TKO against Chris Daukaus last time out in mid-August, and he has managed 4 consecutive wins, with 3 of the victories coming via knockouts.

Rountree Jr. takes the walk with a half-inch reach advantage, while Smith stands 3 inches taller. The southpaw Rountree Jr. holds a slight 3.73-to-3.16 significant strikes landed per minutes, while Smith is more accurate at 51.53% to just 42.52% for the favorite.

In addition, Rountree Jr. won’t be keen on going to the mat, and he has a 0.00 takedown average. He’ll be trying to keep this fight upright, and in a toe-to-toe brawl.

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UFC Fight Night 233: Anthony Smith vs. Khalil Rountree Jr. odds

FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:35 p.m. ET.

UFC Fight Night 233: Anthony Smith vs. Khalil Rountree Jr. picks and predictions

SMITH (+168) is a solid option as a moderate underdog. While Rountree Jr. (-200) has posted a slightly higher significant strikes landed per minute, Smith is much more accurate, and he has multiple ways to win a fight.

Smith can score knockouts, but he can also get it done on the mat, too. I think Smith is going to be able get the job done, and he’ll impress the judges with his versatility.

As such, take a chance on SMITH BY POINTS (+650) for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 6 1/2 times in the “method of victory” prop section.

YES (+300): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is too hard to pass up for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 3 times.

Smith has ended up going the distance in 2 in a row, while Rountree Jr. has ended up going the distance once in the past 2 fights, and 3 times in the previous 7 outings. It’s worth a roll of the dice, for sure.