UFC Fight Night 236: Ige vs. Fili odds, picks and predictions

In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Dan Ige and Andre Fili meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 236 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 94 and UFC Vegas 86 — at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 236: Ige vs. Fili odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 4 p.m. ET, and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 7 p.m. ET, also on ESPN+.

Records: Ige (17-7-0) | Fili (23-10-0)

Ige is looking to bounce back after a unanimous-decision loss to Bryce Mitchell last time out in late September. He has won just twice in the past 6 bouts, and the veteran has ended up going the distance in 5 of the past 6 fights and 9 of the previous 11 outings.

Fili earned the 1st-round KO/TKO win against Lucas Almeida at UFC 296 in his most recent bout in mid-December, but he is just 3-4 with a no contest since Jan. 2020. Fili has ended up going the distance in 5 of his past 7 bouts and 11 of his previous 14 fights.

Fili holds a 3-inch reach advantage while holding a slight 3.86-to-3.76 significant strikes landed per minute lead. Ige is much more accurate with those strikes, posting a 49.82% accuracy percentage to just 41.85% for Fili. The veteran Fili has a 2.19 takedown average and a 47.83% takedown accuracy percentage.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 236: Ige vs. Fili odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 p.m. ET.

UFC Fight Night 236: Ige vs. Fili picks and predictions

FILI (+145) is an attractive play as a moderate underdog on the 2-way line. He has a 2-inch reach advantage, and he does good work on the ground. There are a lot of things Fili does to wow the judges, and this fight is a good bet to end up going the distance.

As such, playing FILI BY DECISION (+250) for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 2½ times is quite an attractive play, too.

Over 2.5 Rounds (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s just a little too much risk for not enough reward.

Instead, consider DECISION (-165) for “How Fight Will End”. You needn’t declare a winner, but can still make a sound wager with a good chance of coming through. Ige had ended up going the distance in 81.8% of his past 11 bouts, while Fili has needed the help of the judges in 78.6% of his past 14 outings.