UFC on ESPN 44: Barboza vs. Quarantillo odds, picks and predictions

In a featherweight bout on the main card, Edson Barboza and Billy Quarantillo meet at UFC on ESPN 44 at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 44: Barboza vs. Quarantillo odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims are on ESPN+ at 5:30 p.m. ET, while the main card can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Barboza is looking to halt a 2-bout losing streak, as he was edged by Bryce Mitchell at UFC 272 by unanimous decision last time out on March 5, 2022. He was knocked out by Giga Chikadze in the main event on in Aug. 2021 in the fight prior.

Barboza has won just 3 times in the past 10 fights, losing twice via KO/TKO, once by way of TKO – Doctor’s Stoppage, twice via split-decision and twice by way of unanimous decision.

Quarantillo has been stuck in neutral a little bit, alternating wins and losses across the past 5 outings. He dropped Alexander Hernandez via KO/TKO in the 2nd Round at UFC 282 in December, and each of his past 3 wins has been via knockout.

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UFC on ESPN 44: Barboza vs. Quarantillo odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.

UFC on ESPN 44: Barboza vs. Quarantillo picks and predictions

Records: Barboza (22-11-0) | Quarantillo (17-4-0)

QUARANTILLO (-175) is a little pricey, but he is worth the play.

The younger fighter has a slight reach advantage, although Barboza is the more prolific puncher by far. The Brazilian has a 7.24-to-3.40 significant strikes landed per minute advantage.

However, Quarantillo is much better on the mat and has been fighting better than Barboza in recent years. Quarantillo holds a 1.35-to-0.29 takedown average, and he’ll be looking to get this fight to the mat as quickly as possible.

METHOD OF VICTORY – 7-WAY: QUARANTILLO BY SUBMISSION (+650) is worth a look for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 6 1/2 times.

In addition, if you go want to get specific with the submission and exact outcome, roll with FIGHT – EXACT OUTCOME:QUARANTILLO BY REAR NAKED CHOKE (+800).

WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? NO (-135) is the way to go because I believe Quarantillo will get the stoppage.

It’s rather specific, but playing ROUND BETTING: QUARANTILLO IN ROUND 2 (+550) is also worth a look, too. In 2 of his past 4 stoppages, he has won in Round 2, including his most recent submission victory.

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