UFC Predictions: Gane vs Spivac UFC Odds & UFC Picks

UFC Predictions & Gane vs. Spivac UFC Odds, Picks

The UFC heads off to The Accor Arena in Paris, France, for another UFC Fight Night this Saturday. The five-bout main card, as well as the four-fight undercard, get streamed again on ESPN+. UFC Predictions ponders the main event between heavyweights Ciryl Gane and Sergey Spivac.

The main card action begins at 3:00 p.m. ET and ends with Gane vs. Spivac. BetMGM, FanDuel, and Caesars are among our best online betting sites for this event. UFC fight night predictions figure this to be a short and sweet night, with the main event being that heavyweight bout. Finally, UFC picks come in with hopes of walking away with a little cash.

Ciryl Gane vs. Sergey Spivac UFC Odds, Details & Form:

Ciryl Gane and Sergey Spivac expect to get underway around 5:30, but here are more details on the UFC Fight Night 226 from Paris.

• �� Location: The Accor Arena - Paris, France
• �� Date: Saturday, September 2nd, 2023
• �� Time: 5:30 pm ET
• �� Main Event: Ciryl Gane vs. Sergey Spivac
• �� Fighter Stats: Ciryl Gane (11-2, 5 KOs, 3 submissions) / Sergey Spivac (16-3, 7 KOs, 7 submissions)
• �� Prize Money: $50,000 performance bonus for performance of the night
• �� TV Channel: ESPN+

Ciryl Gane Form Prior to UFC Fight Night 226

Ciryl Gane has lost two of his prior three bouts, with those defeats coming to UFC Heavyweight Champion Jon Jones and Francis Ngannou. He comes with what amounts to an almost six-month layoff. The up-and-down nature of Gane is more the caliber of opponents he has faced. There have been no cupcakes for the UFC heavy hitter from Paris.

Gane’s style of fighting comes across as brute force meets some serious punching and elbow power. He generously weighs 248 pounds and uses his forward strength well. It will be interesting to see what happens against a fighter right around his way in Spivac (256 pounds). Gane does hold a three-inch reach advantage. He fights with an Orthodox style and mixes some Muay Thai in his attacks. 

Simply, wagering on the Gane on moneyline (-160 at Caesars) appears to be an easy way to bet. One slight weakness is that the fighter has been unable to stay vertical in losses to Ngannou and Jones. Jones got off that guillotine choke by catching Gane off guard. Fighting on his home turf helped Gane last year in an easy TKO (by punches) of Tai Tuivasa. 

Gane must stay upright and take advantage of that reach on Saturday.

Sergey Spivac Form Prior to UFC Fight Night 226

Sergey Spivac (The Polar Bear) is an Orthodox fighter with a 78-inch reach. Again, his ground attack is quite deadly, with five submissions and three straight stoppages. If the slight underdog pulls off a win here, he could be headed for a potential title shot. However, Gane offers many obstacles for the hard-hitting Moldovan. 

Rummaging for a decent moneyline in favor of Spivac at +135 on FanDuel is not bad, either. The fighter possesses the ability to get Gane on the ground. Some forget that Spivac put on some weight over his last few bouts. He now tips the scales at 256 pounds. Spivac’s ground game features several choke and submission moves, along with some nasty punches from both hands. 

So, the likelihood of a knockout or submission (opened at +250 on BetMGM) for Spivac may gain some momentum. Again, a decision is less probable, given that the Moldovan has seen a mere three of his 19 fights go the distance. The rationale is that Spivac’s attack can take Gane off his game. Look at that Under 2.5 round prop (-145 on BetMGM). Will this number move around at all before Saturday afternoon? 

Ciryl Gane vs. Sergey Spivac UFC Predictions & UFC Odds

Let’s throw down some UFC predictions on the main event for Saturday from Paris.

The hard part is attempting to figure out how Gane truly approaches this fight. The Heavyweight knows he cannot afford to go to the ground often against Spivac. Fortunately, he enjoys a nice reach and outside power punching advantage. UFC fight night best bets play it safe here as Ciryl Gane at -160 at Caesars was better than the -174 on FanDuel and -170 via BetMGM.

Getting skittish on the method of win helps steer us back to the moneyline. For perspective, the decision dangled at plus-money (+150 on Caesars) is nice but far too dangerous. Could we see more ideal numbers by Saturday? That answer looks to be no. Therefore, Gane vs. Spivac UFC Predictions side with the older fighter from France.

Now, the 28-year-old Spivac has enjoyed a nice run lately, culminating with a win over Derrick Lewis. However, that three-inch reach disadvantage could allow Gane to neutralize a lot of Spivac’s ground game and attack. However, the one thing the Moldovan can do is catch someone off their feet. This makes that Sergei Spivac +250 bet via FanDuel worth another small wager.

Now, these two combatants have fought similar opponents. Spivac likely watched how Gane took out Lewis. That helps explain the quicker demolition as well. Gane vs. Spivac UFC Predictions likes the notion that Spivac might have the youthful legs in this rumble. 

The media sing the praises that this could be a springboard again for Gane to get to yet another title shot. However, what if Spivac represents a younger order in the division? With Spivac using his ground power punches more, his better-than-expected defense should help the Moldovan. UFC fight night best bets see possibilities here.

What is a different outcome on Saturday afternoon? One of them may be that earlier-than-expected round prop. Going further down the round props or looking to a decision feels like a losing move. No matter how many think Gane wants to “box,” the reality is he wants hometown glory and the knockout.  

A convincing win by ending the fight early carries weight. Bluntly, UFC fight night best bets like a short and sweet main event. The Under of 2.5 Rounds is -145 at BetMGM, and if someone gets knocked early in Round 3, the bet still cashes.

This Gane vs. Spivac UFC Prediction lends itself to ending well before a decision. Again, wait to see if round props move. 

Ciryl Gane vs. Sergey Spivac UFC Predictions & Final Thoughts

This Paris, France main event on Saturday has seen quite a few cancellations. Some are hoping for the underdog triumph on ESPN+, and that is possible. With two fighters looking for one more title shot, the possibility of a quick end still exists, which is why UFC fight night predictionstake a swing at Spivac by KO/Submission.

Honestly, Ciryl Gane seems to believe that he will win this fight fairly easily. That helps our UFC picks eyeing the Spivac victory, the Under 2.5 Round prop, and more. The problem is that Spivac’s forward style could work quickly but may also backfire just as fast. Reaching for Gane to win by decision(+150 at Caesars) is too much. 

Expect a possible surprise here with this main event, and do not underestimate the Moldovan.

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