2022 Big 12 Championship Game prediction, odds, line: TCU vs. Kansas State picks, best bets from proven model

TCU Horned Frogs are 12-0 and 9-1 in the Big 12. They take on Kansas State Wildcats in 2022 Big12 Championship Game at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Kickoff is at noon ET. TCU is 2.5-point favorites. Kansas is 9th and coming off a 47-27 victory over Kansas. SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. It has returned a profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college Football picks against the spread.

SportsLine's computer model has selected TCU vs. Kansas State as the team to beat in the Big 12 Championship Game. The Horned Frogs are 5-1 against the spread in their last five games. KSU is 4-0 ATS in its last 5 games against TCU.

TCU vs. Kansas State is a big favorite at 2.5 points. The game is expected to be scored 62 points, with a total of 62. TCU is 5-1 against the spread in their last five games. KSU is 4-2 ATS in the last 5 meetings with TCU.

TCU is one of the top scoring teams in the nation, ranking fourth with an average of 41.3 points per game. TCU has been held under 34 points only twice this season. The team's 62-point output last week was its highest since a 63-0 victory against Jackson State in its 2017 season opener. Last Saturday's 48-points margin of victory was their largest in a Big 12 game since their 55-3 win against Iowa State. Max Duggan has made at least three TD passes in seven of his 12 games this year.

Kansas State's ground attack is among the top 20 in the nation, ranking 17th at 210 yards per contest. Deuce Vaughn has rushed for 1,295 yards this season. He has reached the century mark in rushing yards in 19 of his 35 career games with the Wildcats.

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total and against the spread.