2022 Masters Betting: Golf bets and modeling strategy

Jon Rahm is the favorite to win the 2022 Masters Tournament. Justin Thomas, Cameron Smith and Dustin Johnson are also favorites. The best bets for the event will come later on.

The winner of the Masters will play the four Par 5's well. Last year Hideki Matsuyama finished with a winning score of 10-under par, but he was -11 on those four holes. The previous Masters champions did very well on the Par 4's.

Patrick Cantlay, Matt Fitzpatrick, Scottie Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau and Cameron Smith are the leaders in this category over the last 36 rounds.

The strokes-gained: approach is the most important element in terms of winning the Masters. Matsuyama finished fourth in strokes gained: Approach last year. Augusta National greens are smaller than the average PGA Tour greens.

Viktor Hovland is the leader in strokes-gained: approach over the last 36 rounds. Russell Henley is second, Paul Casey is third, Daniel Berger is fourth and Shane Lowry is fifth.

Good drives gained is the most important statistic of the week. The penalty for missing a fairway is greater than the average. Driving accuracy is more important than distance. 2022 Masters Betting: Golf bets and modeling strategy.

Corey Conners, Jon Rahm, Daniel Berger, Tom Hoge, Will Zalatoris are the good drives gained leaders over the last 36 rounds.

The key statistic for the Masters is bogey avoidance percentage (17 percent emphasis). The last five champions have finished under that percentage. The remaining 14 holes are very important. The percentage for this round is 16 percent.

Sungjae Im, Tom Hoge, Seamus Power, Daniel Berger and Will Zalatoris are the leaders over the last 36 rounds in terms of bogey avoidance.

Robert MacIntyre, Kevin Na, Rory McIlroy, Daniel Berger and Christiaan Bezuidenhout are the favourites to win the Masters at Augusta National. Scrambling is not the most important statistic in this model.