2023 American Express odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions
The California swing of the 2023 PGA Tour season kicks off this week at The American Express, which will once again use 3 different courses. Below, we look at the 2023 American Express odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.
It's a star-studded field in the Coachella Valley for The American Express, led by Jon Rahm, who won the Sentry Tournament of Champions in his last start. Scottie Scheffler, Patrick Cantlay, Tony Finau and Xander Schauffele will also be in the field
The American Express will be played on the PGA West Stadium (7,187 yards) and Nicklaus Tournament (7,147) courses, as well as La Quinta Country Club (7,060). They all play as par 72. Because this is a pro-am like Pebble Beach, each pairing will play each course in the 1st 3 rounds, with the final round being played at the Stadium Course.
The American Express - Expert picks
Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 12:01 p.m. ET.
Sungjae Im (+2000)
Im has the 3rd-best score to par and the 3rd-most birdies at The American Express in the last 3 years. The No. 13 player in this week's Sagarin Golfweek rankings shockingly missed the cut at the Sony Open last week, but he tied for 13th at the Tournament of Champions and tied for 8th at the Hero World Challenge. I'll take him for a bounce-back at a tournament where he's never finished worse than 12th in 4 starts.
Patrick Cantlay (+1000)
Cantlay gets to play in his home state this week, which often yields positive results for the 30-year-old Long Beach native. In his last 3 starts in this event, he's come in 9th twice and finished solo 2nd in 2021. This is only his 3rd official start of the season, but he played well the 1st 2 times he teed it up (T-2 and T-16).
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The American Express picks - Contenders
Cam Davis (+4000)
Davis hasn't finished worse than T-37 in his last 4 starts, with a T-13 at the CJ Cup being his best finish in that stretch. At the Sony Open, he got off to a good start with an opening 66, but he faded a bit and finished T-32. In his last appearance at The American Express, he came in 3rd in 2021 after going T-28 and T-29 the previous 2 years.
Brian Harman (+3000)
It's hard not to like Harman this week. He's played this event 10 times, made the cut in 8 of those years and has 3 top-10s. He's played this event in each of the last 7 years and has only missed the cut once with 6 other top-21 finishes, including top-10s in the last 2 years. Harman comes in red hot, too, with nothing worse than a T-32 this season, including 3 top-10s.
The American Express picks - Long shots
Harris English (+8000)
English has never missed the cut in 7 trips here, though in his last 2 starts (2020 and 2021), he didn't finish better than T-48. His stock is on the lower side coming into this week after a T-73 at the Sony Open, but he opened the week with a 65 on Thursday last week.
Rickie Fowler (+8000)
Fowler could be poised for a big year in 2023 after making some swing changes and that could start in his home state this week. In 2020 and 2021, Fowler finished in the top-21 here both times before missing the cut in 2022, but he's playing much better now than he was last year. He tied for 2nd at the ZOZO Championship in October and T-34 a week later.
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