2023 Kentucky Derby odds, time, horses, date, prediction: Best Churchill Downs picks from champion handicapper

Only three of the last 11 Kentucky Derby winners have come into the race with an unblemished record. Just one horse enters the 2023 Kentucky Derby undefeated in his career. Kingsbarns has three wins in three starts and is 12-1 in the latest 2023 Kentucky Derby odds. There have been only nine undefeated Kentucky Derby winners since 1915. Will Kingsbarns rewrite the history books and be the 10th, defeating a talented 2023 Kentucky Derby field in the process, or should you back other 2023 Kentucky Derby contenders like Forte (3-1), Tapit Trice (5-1) and Angel of Empire (8-1)?

Post time for the Kentucky Derby 2023 is 6:57 p.m. ET. With an accomplished and wide-open 20-horse field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, you'll want to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2023 Kentucky Derby picks.

A member of the Beyer Speed Figure-making team who is based in Saratoga Springs, N.Y., Weir is a two-time qualifier for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014.

Last year, he was red-hot in the Triple Crown prep races, hitting the superfecta in the Blue Grass Stakes for $1,678 and exactas in the Fountain of Youth Stakes and Tampa Bay Derby. He also hit the 19-1 winner of the Man o' War Stakes, the trifecta in the Pegasus World Cup, the superfecta in the Met Mile and multiple Pick 4s, including May 14's at Belmont for $1,851.

Five weeks ago, he hit the late Pick 4 at Gulfstream Park for $641 and the exacta in the Florida Derby. Three weeks ago, he nailed the Pick 5 at Keeneland and the exacta in the Lexington Stakes.

Now, he has handicapped the 2023 Kentucky Derby lineup, made his picks and constructed his bets. You can only see them at SportsLine.

Top 2023 Kentucky Derby betting strategy

One surprise: Weir is down on the chances of Tapit Trice, even though he is one of the top favorites at 5-1. Tapit Trice is one of three horses in the field trained by Todd Pletcher. In his last start, he caught the Brad Cox-trained Verifying down the stretch in the Blue Grass.

However, Weir does not believe Tapit Trice has the push-button acceleration that a horse needs to find holes in the 20-horse field in the Run for the Roses. "He still looks like a grind-it-down horse who may prove to be better suited for the Belmont than the Derby," Weir told SportsLine. Weir is using Tapit Trice only sparingly in 2023 Kentucky Derby bets. See which other horses to avoid here.

Another curveball: Weir is high on Verifying, even though he is a 15-1 longshot. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Verifying, one of four horses trained by Brad Cox in the 2023 Kentucky Derby field, is coming off a runner-up finish in the Blue Grass Stakes in April. Verifying pressed the pace during that race and earned a 99 Beyer Speed Figure, which puts him among the fastest horses in the 2023 Kentucky Derby lineup.

Verifying also secured a first-place finish in an allowance race in January. He's now hit the board in two of his last three starts. Verifying is also the son of Justify, the most recent Triple Crown winner (2018), so he has the pedigree to pull off a shocking victory on Saturday, according to Weir. See which other horses to use here.

How to evaluate 2023 Kentucky Derby horses

Moreover, Weir's top pick is a double-digit horse who "could end up with a perfect stalking trip." He also is high on a big double-digit longshot who's "capable of getting the dream trip." Weir is including these horses in his 2023 Kentucky Derby bets, and so should you. He's sharing which horses to back only at SportsLine.

So who wins the Kentucky Derby? What double-digit longshot is a must-back? And how has Weir constructed his wagers? Check out the latest Kentucky Derby odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Weir's picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from a top horse racing champion and insider.