2023 Masters odds, predictions, picks: Tiger Woods projection from the golf model that nailed Scheffler's win
Tiger Woods has never gone three straight Masters appearances without a top-five finish, which puts a spotlight on the 2023 Masters starting Thursday, April 6. Woods finished 47th and 38th in his last two starts at Augusta National Golf Club, putting this streak in jeopardy when the Masters 2023 begins. The five-time Masters champion has 12 career top-five finishes, placing him second all-time to Jack Nicklaus (15).
Woods hasn't had a top-five at any tournament since late 2019 and as a result, he's a 55-1 long shot in the latest 2023 Masters odds at Caesars Sportsbook, tied with Bryson DeChambeau and Tyrrell Hatton. The 2023 Masters favorites include Jon Rahm (15-2), Scottie Scheffler (8-1) and Rory McIlroy (17-2). Before locking in your 2023 Masters picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,400 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm to finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. The model also included J.T. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $1,100. At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.
In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.
This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2023 Masters field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2023 Masters predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2023 Masters: Jordan Spieth, a three-time major champion and one of the top favorites, struggles mightily at Augusta National and doesn't even crack the top 25. Spieth used to be a fixture near the top of the leaderboard at Augusta National, with four top-three finishes across his first five starts. But over his last four Masters starts, he has more finishes outside the top 40 (two) than in the top 10 (one).
His strengths, which enabled him to capture that win in 2015, have escaped him this year. Spieth ranks outside the top 75 in strokes gained off-the-tee and strokes gained putting, while he was inside the top 15 in both in 2015. Additionally, his precision has plummeted to near the bottom of the PGA Tour, as he ranks 170th out of 209 in driving accuracy percentage (53.24%). As a former winner, Spieth will attract 2023 Masters bets, but recent history indicates he may be a name to avoid this year, according to the model.
The model has also revealed where Tiger will finish at the 2023 Masters. Due to a car accident and associated injuries, Woods has played just 13 rounds of competitive golf since Nov. 2020. His ramp-up tournament to the Masters 2023 was the Genesis Invitational, where he flashed his all-time stellar abilities at times but still finished outside the top 40.
That finish was at a course that he's never won at before, while the same can't be said for Augusta National. Over his 24 starts at Augusta, the five-time champion has placed in the top five in exactly half (12) of his appearances and owns the second-lowest Masters scoring average of all-time. But just one of those top-fives has come since 2014, meaning, as usual, all eyes will be focused on Woods at the 2023 Masters. The model just locked in its surprising Tiger Woods Masters picks here.
How to make 2023 Masters picks
The model is also targeting five golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's PGA picks here.
Who will win the 2023 Masters, which longshots will stun the golfing world, and where will Tiger Woods finish? Check out the 2023 Masters odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 Masters leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed eight golf majors, including last year's Masters.
2023 Masters odds, field
Jon Rahm 15-2
Scottie Scheffler 8-1
Rory McIlroy 17-2
Cameron Smith 12-1
Jordan Spieth 15-1
Justin Thomas 16-1
Xander Schauffele 18-1
Tony Finau 20-1
Will Zalatoris 20-1
Collin Morikawa 22-1
Max Homa 22-1
Patrick Cantlay 22-1
Dustin Johnson 25-1
Cameron Young 25-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 25-1
Tom Kim 25-1
Viktor Hovland 25-1
Sungjae Im 33-1
Hideki Matsuyama 33-1
Brooks Koepka 35-1
Sam Burns 35-1
Shane Lowry 35-1
Joaquin Niemann 45-1
Tyrrell Hatton 55-1
Corey Conners 55-1
Bryson DeChambeau 55-1
Tiger Woods 55-1
Aaron Wise 60-1
Louis Oosthuizen 60-1
Abraham Ancer 60-1
Justin Rose 65-1
Patrick Reed 65-1
Tommy Fleetwood 75-1
Si-Woo Kim 80-1
Russell Henley 80-1
Sahith Theegala 80-1
Billy Horschel 85-1
Talor Gooch 90-1
Mito Pereira 90-1
Adam Scott 100-1
Gary Woodland 100-1
Bubba Watson 100-1
Tom Hoge 100-1
Brian Harman 125-1
Seamus Power 125-1
K H Lee 125-1
Keegan Bradley 125-1
Thomas Pieters 125-1
Ryan Fox 125-1
Sergio Garcia 125-1
Alex Noren 150-1
Scott Stallings 150-1
Kurt Kitayama 150-1
Jason Kokrak 150-1
Sepp Straka 150-1
Cameron Champ 150-1
Harold Varner 150-1
Kevin Na 150-1
Charl Schwartzel 175-1
Adam Meronk 175-1
Kevin Kisner 175-1
Phil Mickelson 200-1
Danny Willett 200-1
Francesco Molinari 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 250-1
Zach Johnson 300-1
Adam Svensson 300-1
JT Poston 300-1
Fred Couples 1000-1
Bernhard Langer 1000-1
Vijay Singh 1500-1
Mike Weir 1500-1
Larry Mize 2500-1
Jose Maria Olazabal 2500-1
Sandy Lyle 5000-1
