2023 MLB picks, odds, best bets for Monday, July 17 by top model: This four-way parlay returns almost 11-1

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2023 MLB picks, odds, best bets for Monday, July 17 by top model: This four-way parlay returns almost 11-1

The Baltimore Orioles continue their surge toward first in the AL East when they open a three-game series against the NL West-leading Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday (7:05 p.m. ET) at Camden Yards. Baltimore (57-35) posted its eighth straight win on Sunday, a 5-4 triumph against Miami that pulled the team within one game of division-leading Tampa Bay. Los Angeles (53-39) saw its advantage over San Francisco in the NL West shrink to 1.5 games after suffering a 2-1 loss at the Mets in 10 innings that snapped its six-game winning streak. On Monday, Baltimore's Grayson Rodriguez (2-2, 7.35 ERA) takes the mound opposite LA's Emmet Sheehan (2-0, 4.35).

The Orioles are -115 favorites (risk $115 to win $100) in the latest MLB odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Dodgers are -105 underdogs. The over/under for total runs is 9.5, and the game is one of 10 on the MLB schedule for Monday evening. Elsewhere, the Giants (-155) aim for their sixth straight win when they visit the Cincinnati Reds, and the AL West-leading Texas Rangers (+110) attempt to extend their winning streak to four games when they host the Rays. Before making any MLB picks or parlays, be sure to .

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the All-Star break 46-34 (+194) on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks this season, going 11-2 (+604). Anybody following has seen big returns.

For Monday, the model has locked in four confident MLB best bets for games that begin at 7:05 p.m. ET or later. If you successfully parlay the picks, you'd be looking at a payout of almost 11-1. You can only see the model's MLB picks at SportsLine

Top MLB picks today

After simulating every game on Monday 10,000 times, the model is picking the Dodgers (-105) to defeat the Orioles. Los Angeles scored at least five runs in eight straight contests before its bats went cold on Sunday. The Dodgers outscored their opponents 43-16 during their winning streak, with seven-time All-Star Mookie Betts doing plenty of damage at the plate.

The 30-year-old Betts drove in Los Angeles' lone run on Sunday and enters the series opener against Baltimore with a six-game hitting streak during which he has gone 13-for-25 with four home runs and eight RBI. He is second in the NL with 27 blasts and has driven in 65 runs to rank third in the senior circuit. J.D. Martinez, who is tied for fourth in the NL with 64 RBI, has gone deep four times and collected eight RBI over his last seven contests, while Freddie Freeman has recorded three homers and nine of his 63 RBI in his past six games. See the model's top MLB picks here.