2023 MLB picks, odds, best bets for Tuesday, May 16 from top model: This three-way parlay pays well over 6-1

The surging Los Angeles Dodgers seek their seventh consecutive victory Tuesday when they host the Minnesota Twins in the second of a three-game set. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET from Dodger Stadium. Max Muncy homered twice and Chris Taylor scored on a bases-loaded walk to give Los Angeles a 9-8 victory in 12 innings Monday. The AL Central-leading Twins (23-19) rallied from a 5-1 deficit and led 8-7 in the 10th before the Dodgers (27-15) rallied back. 

For Tuesday, the Dodgers are -205 favorites (risk $205 to win $100), while the Twins are offered at +170 in the latest Caesars Sportsbook MLB odds. The over/under for total runs scored is 8. Other MLB lines of note include the Mets as -160 favorites against the Rays in a 7:10 p.m. ET start, while the Braves and Rangers game at 8:05 p.m. ET is listed as a -110 pick'em. Before making any MLB picks or parlays, be sure to . 

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it is on a 20-15 on top-rated MLB picks to start the 2023 season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.  

For Tuesday, the model has locked in three confident MLB best bets for games that begin at 6:40 p.m. ET or later. If you successfully parlay the picks, you'd be looking at a payout of well over 6-1. You can only see the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

Top MLB picks today

After simulating every game on Tuesday 10,000 times, the model is picking the Colorado Rockies (-130) to defeat the Cincinnati Reds (+110) at 8:40 p.m. ET. The model sees Colorado winning this matchup in a whopping 63% of simulations.

The rebuilding Reds have started to dip into their pool of prospects to see who might flourish at the major-league level. Left-hander Brandon Williamson, who was called up from Triple-A on Monday, will make his debut Tuesday for Cincinnati. He went 2-4 with a 6.62 ERA in eight starts for Triple-A Louisville this season.

The Rockies, who won the series opener 9-8 on Monday, will counter with recent acquisition Chase Anderson, who started this season with the Reds. The veteran right-hander is 6-3 with a 3.72 ERA in 15 career starts against the Reds. See who else to back here. 

How to make MLB parlays for May 16

The model also locked in two other best bets for Tuesday, including a play on an underdog. You can see the model's MLB best bets and parlay only at SportsLine.

What MLB picks should you target for a payout of well over 6-1, and which plus-money play does the model like on Tuesday? Visit SportsLine now to see the MLB best bets from an advanced model that is on a 20-15 roll on top-rated money-line picks, and find out.