2023 Sanderson Farms Championship picks, odds, field: PGA predictions, bets from model that nailed 10 majors

The inaugural FedEx Cup Fall continues this week with the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship, which is the second of seven events that will determine PGA Tour status for the upcoming season. Troy Merritt made the most significant leap at the Fortinet Championship, jumping from No. 133 to No. 118 in the FedEx Cup standings. He is back in action this week but he's a massive +12500 longshot according to the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship odds. Should you include him in your 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship bets?

Ludvig Aberg is the 10-1 favorite on the PGA odds board, while Eric Cole is 20-1 and Stephan Jaeger is 22-1. There have been two playoffs in the last four editions of this event, so drama could be in store again on Sunday. Before locking in your 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now that the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the Sanderson Farms Championship 2023: Eric Cole, who is listed second in the odds, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top five. Cole struggled at this event last year, missing the cut at 2-over par. He missed the cut in his first five tournaments of the 2022-23 season, so he is overvalued following a strong performance his last time out. 

Cole finished fourth at the Fortinet Championship, marking his first top-10 finish since the RBC Canadian Open in June. He ranks outside the top 175 in total driving and is No. 135 in greens in regulation percentage, which will be difficult to overcome this weekend. SportsLine's model has identified several other golfers who are much stronger betting options in the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship field. 

Another surprise: Lucas Herbert, a 30-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. 

Herbert enters this week's event as one of the best putters on the PGA Tour. In fact, the 27-year-old currently ranks 12th in one-putt percentage (43.17%), 27th in putts per round (28.35) and 31st in strokes gained: putting (0.364). He's also averaging just 27.56 putts in the fourth round this season, which ranks ninth on the PGA Tour. His ability to consistently drain putts is a big reason why the model thinks he'll be in contention this week in Mississippi. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 30-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.

So, who will win the Sanderson Farms Championship 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 10 golf majors, including this year's Masters and Open Championship.

2023 Sanderson Farms Championship odds, field

Ludvig Aberg 10-1Eric Cole 20-1Stephan Jaeger 22-1Keith Mitchell 22-1Emiliano Grillo 25-1S.H. Kim 30-1Lucas Herbert 30-1Garrick Higgo 35-1Alex Smalley 35-1Mark Hubbard 40-1Beau Hossler 40-1Alex Noren 40-1Adam Svensson 40-1Tom Hoge 45-1Sam Ryder 45-1Mackenzie Hughes 45-1K.H. Lee 45-1Doug Ghim 45-1Luke List 50-1Lee Hodges 50-1Kevin Streelman 50-1Hayden Buckley 50-1Davis Thompson 50-1Ben Griffin 50-1Akshay Bhatia 50-1Sam Stevens 55-1Peter Kuest 55-1Dylan Wu 55-1Davis Riley 55-1Callum Tarren 55-1Nick Hardy 60-1Nicholas Lindheim 60-1Kevin Yu 60-1Christian Bezuidenhout 60-1Brandon Wu 60-1Cameron Champ 65-1Nate Lashley 70-1Chez Reavie 70-1Webb Simpson 75-1Sam Bennett 75-1MJ Daffue 75-1David Lipsky 75-1Ryan Palmer 80-1Peter Malnati 80-1Greyson Sigg 80-1Erik Van Rooyen 80-1Chad Ramey 80-1C.T. Pan 80-1Andrew Novak 80-1Will Gordon 90-1Trey Mullinax 90-1Scott Stallings 90-1Chesson Hadley 90-1