2024 Sony Open odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from proven model that's called 10 majors

If Si Woo Kim can finish on top of the leaderboard this week at the 2024 Sony Open, he'll become the first golfer since Jimmy Walker (2014-15) to successfully defend his title. Kim will have to stave off several serious contenders if he wants to rewrite the history books in Hawaii. Hideki Matsuyama, Matt Fitzpatrick, Tyrrell Hatton and Keegan Bradley are among the experienced players looking to dethrone Kim and win the Sony Open 2024.

Play gets underway from Waialae Country Club on Thursday, Jan. 11. Ludvig Aberg, who's coming off a disappointing T-47 finish at The Sentry, is the 12-1 favorite, with Hatton (16-1), Fitzpatrick (16-1) and Russell Henley (22-1) next in line on the PGA odds board. Kim is listed as a 45-1 longshot to repeat. Before locking in your 2024 Sony Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now that the Sony Open 2024 field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Sony Open predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the Sony Open 2024: Fitzpatrick, a major champion and one of the top favorites, struggles this week and barely cracks the top five. Fitzpatrick is coming off a steady showing at The Sentry, securing a T-14 finish after shooting 69 or below in all four rounds. 

Fitzpatrick remains one of the best putters on tour, but he struggled mightily with his accuracy last season. The Englishman finished the 2022-23 season ranked 138th in driving accuracy (56.61%) and 156th in greens in regulation percentage (65.14%). He also finished last season ranked 116th in strokes gained: approach to green (-0.053), which doesn't bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard this week at the 2024 Sony Open.

Another surprise: Eric Cole, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Cole has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

In order to score well at Waialae Country Club, players will need to consistently drain putts and few do it better than Cole. In fact, the reigning PGA Tour Rookie of the Year finished last season ranked inside the top five in putting average (1.691), putts per round (27.75) and one-putt percentage (44.14%). He also finished last season ranked sixth in birdie average (4.40), ninth in scoring average (69.13) and 19th in strokes gained: approach to green (0.545). Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make him a strong value pick for your 2024 Sony Open bets. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2024 Sony Open picks

The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 30-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.

Who will win the 2024 Sony Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Sony Open 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Sony Open leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 10 golf majors, including last year's Masters and Open Championship.

2024 Sony Open odds, field

Ludvig Åberg +1200Tyrrell Hatton +1600Matt Fitzpatrick +1600Russell Henley +2200Brian Harman +2500Will Zalatoris +3000Corey Conners +3300Cam Davis +3500Eric Cole +3500Chris Kirk +3500Byeong Hun An +4000J.T. Poston +4000Sahith Theegala +4500Denny McCarthy +4500Si Woo Kim +4500Hideki Matsuyama +4500Matt Kuchar +4500Justin Rose +4500Brendon Todd +5000Harris English +5500Akshay Bhatia +5500Stephan Jaeger +6000Adam Hadwin +6000Alex Noren +6500J.J. Spaun +6500Adam Svensson +7000Andrew Putnam +7000Keith Mitchell +7000Keegan Bradley +7500Lucas Glover +7500Ben Griffin +8000Matt Wallace +8000Aaron Rai +8000Gary Woodland +9000Taylor Pendrith +9000Billy Horschel +9000Taylor Montgomery +9000Emiliano Grillo +10000Adrien Dumont de Chassart +10000Kurt Kitayama +10000Ryan Palmer +11000Davis Thompson +11000Webb Simpson +11000Luke List +11000Patrick Rodgers +11000Justin Suh +11000Ben Kohles +11000Vincent Norrman +11000K.H. Lee +12000Alex Smalley +12000Ryo Hisatsune +12000Erik van Rooyen +12000Nick Taylor +12000Tom Hoge +12000Jake Knapp +12000S.H. Kim +12000Austin Eckroat +12000Alexander Björk +12000Mark Hubbard +12000Davis Riley +15000Nick Hardy +15000Michael Kim +15000Doug Ghim +15000Vince Whaley +15000Ryan Moore +15000Garrick Higgo +15000