2023 Sanderson Farms Championship prop bet picks, PGA Tour predictions

Sportsbook Wire

04 October 2023

2023 Sanderson Farms Championship prop bet picks, PGA Tour predictions

The PGA Tour’s fall slate continues this week in Mississippi with the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship at the Country Club of Jackson. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning and the tournament concludes on Sunday in Jackson, Miss.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets among the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Ludvig Aberg, who helped Europe win the Ryder Cup last week, is the favorite to win this week (+1200) and is the highest-ranked player in the field, according to the latest Golfweek/Sagarin rankings. He comes in at No. 12, while Stephan Jaeger is the 2nd-highest-ranked at No. 25. Jaeger and Eric Cole are tied for the 2nd-shortest odds (+2000) to win in Jackson.

The Country Club of Jackson will play as a par 72 this week and is 7,461 yards in length. The greens are Bermuda grass and small, and they’re typically some of the quickest on tour. The winning scores here have been between 16-under and 22-under.

Sanderson Farms Championship – Top-5 picks

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 11:12 p.m. ET.

Ludvig Aberg (+260)

Aberg should be done partying by now after the Europeans’ Ryder Cup win on Sunday night so hopefully he’ll be ready to go for Thursday’s 1st round. As long as he doesn’t toss up a 78 in Round 1, Aberg should be in contention after he shakes off the jetlag. On the plus side, he should be in good form after playing a bunch in Rome.

Eric Cole (+400)

Cole hasn’t finished worse than 31st in his last 5 starts and came in 4th in his most recent start, which was the Fortinet Championship 2 weeks ago. He’s in the best form of any player in the field not named Ludvig Aberg, so he’s worth taking for a 2nd straight top 5 in the fall.

Henrik Norlander (+2800)

Norlander is a long shot here but he’s finished 4th, 4th and 24th in his last 3 starts in the Sanderson Farms Championship since 2020. His recent form hasn’t been great, missing 3 straight cuts, but at +2800, he’s a good top-5 value.

Sanderson Farms Championship – Top-10 picks

Kevin Streelman (+400)

Streelman has only made 3 of his last 5 cuts and has just 1 finish better than 51st in that span, but that was a runner-up at the 3M Open in July. In his last 3 starts in this event, he’s finished 4th (2019), 31st (2021) and 24th (2022). A top-10 is well within his potential.

Mark Hubbard (+350)

In this event last year, Hubbard tied for 5th. He also tied for 17th in his last start this season, the Fortinet Championship, so he comes in with some momentum from a good showing 2 weeks ago.

Sanderson Farms Championship – Top-20 picks

Greyson Sigg (+250)

He has only played here twice, finishing 9th last year and missing the cut in 2021. In his most recent start this season, he finished 25th in the Fortinet. Sigg doesn’t have any glaring weaknesses coming into this week, ranking in the top 100 in all strokes-gained categories.

Scott Stallings (+350)

Stallings has 2 top-20s in his last 3 starts here and 3 top-30 finishes in his last 4, playing this tournament in each of the last 8 years. Experience at the Country Club of Jackson isn’t a concern at all for him.

Sanderson Farms Championship – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Emiliano Grillo (-125) vs. Lucas Herbert (+100)

There aren’t many enticing matchup plays this week but one that’s tough to turn down is Grillo over Herbert. Grillo hasn’t finished worse than 39th here in the last 4 years and was 5th last year, while Herbert has played here once and missed the cut. Not to mention, Grillo has 2 top-10s, 3 top-20s and 5 top-31s in his last 5 starts this season.

Sanderson Farms Championship – Top South American

Emiliano Grillo (-135)

Going back to Grillo here, who has the best odds to be the top South American by a wide margin. The next-closest player is Augusto Nunez at +450 and there are only 5 total South Americans in the field. Getting a good player at -135 to beat 4 other players is a nice value.

Sanderson Farms Championship – First-round leader

Mark Hubbard (+5500)

Hubbard fired a 1st-round 67 last year, 1 shot off the pace set by Davis Riley and Will Gordon. Coming off a T-17 two weeks ago, Hubbard is playing well and finished 5th here last year.