Angels vs Padres Prediction, Picks, Odds

Tonight's matchup between the Angels and Padres features one of the league's hottest pitchers in Blake Snell going up against one of the hottest hitters in Shohei Ohtani. Who will come out on top? Find out in our MLB betting picks below.

If there is someone who can produce fireworks the day before the Fourth of July, it’s Los Angeles Angels two-way star Shohei Ohtani. 

Ohtani is the overwhelming favorite to win the AL MVP after a monster month of June that included him swatting 15 dingers. Now, he’ll try to carry that into the month of July when he and the Angels open a series with the uninspiring San Diego Padres.

Despite the struggles, San Diego hopes handing the ball to Blake Snell will help build some momentum before the All-Star break. And with Snell on the mound, the Padres will be big favorites tonight. 

However, does that mean Ohtani & Co. have value as an underdog? I have an Ohtani-themed best bet, plus a juicy same-game parlay in my MLB picks and predictions for Angels vs. Padres below.

Angels vs Padres odds

Angels vs Padres predictions

Let me yell this for people in the back to hear: Shohei Ohtani is the greatest player to ever step on a baseball field and I can’t believe he doesn’t get more media attention for what he's doing this season.

As a hitter, Ohtani leads the majors in home runs, RBI, slugging, OPS, and total bases. As a pitcher, he leads the league in hits per nine innings and the AL in strikeouts per nine. 

No one does that! Like, ever. 

The two-way superstar is coming off a monster month of June at the plate. Ohtani hit for a ridiculous .394 batting average and a 1.444 OPS while swatting 15 dingers. He also scored 27 runs and drove in another 29 more. Basically, he's been run production personified. 

As a result, Ohtani is now the overwhelming -1,400 favorite to win the AL MVP Award, and even with a red-hot Blake Snell on the mound, I don’t expect Ohtani to slow down tonight.

Snell has been dominant of late, pitching to a 0.86 ERA and striking out 14.12 batters per nine innings over his last seven starts but if there's a caveat to that, he still has an expected ERA of 4.06 this season and he has some reverse splits vs. left-handed hitters. 

Snell is giving up a .246 batting average and a .777 OPS to lefties and there isn’t a lefty more elite than Ohtani. And in a small sample size, Ohtani is 2-for-3 with a double and two walks in five career at-bats vs. Snell. That’s good for a .960 expected slugging percentage.

Plus, all those strikeouts mean Snell probably doesn’t pitch more than six innings. Then he hands the ball off to a San Diego bullpen that ranks 18th in xFIP and 26th in strikeouts per nine innings.

As I said, Ohtani has been pure production, which is why I’m honing in on his hits + runs + RBI prop. It's set at a low 1.5 due to the matchup with Snell, but I think that’s just giving up some value. It’s not like Ohtani hasn’t faced elite pitchers during this incredible run. 

Want one more incredible Ohtani stat? He's gone Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI in 24 of his last 31 games. 

My best bet: Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (+115 at DraftKings)

Angels vs Padres same-game parlay

Shohei Ohtani to record a hit (-170)

Shohei Ohtani to record an RBI (+205)

Blake Snell to record 7+ strikeouts (-195)

Angels +1.5 (-125)

Clearly, this is going to be a Shohei-inspired same-game parlay. Unfortunately, we can’t add hits + runs + RBI to a same-game parlay, so instead we start with one hit and one RBI. Ohtani has only gone hitless four times in his last 31 games and has at least one RBI in 20 of those 31 games. 

We have to give Snell some love too, considering he's striking out 14.14 batters per nine innings. The Angels are a middle-of-the-pack team when it comes to K-rate vs. left-handed pitchers, with the 12th lowest rate vs southpaws.

However, Snell has a feel for all his pitches at the moment and seven strikeouts —which he's hit in six straight starts — feel like the floor here.

And to close out this SGP, I’m taking the Angels on the runline at +1.5. Jaime Barria certainly has his flaws, but they aren’t as glaring as the Padres’ issues with right-handed pitching. San Diego ranks 20th in OPS and 18th in wRC+ vs right-pitchers this season.

I think this should be a close game and I like backing the Angels getting runs here to make the SGP payout a nice +700.

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Angels vs Padres moneyline and Over/Under analysis

The Padres might be the most disappointing team in baseball if the Mets didn’t exist. If they want to build some momentum before the All-Star break, they’ll need to start stringing together some wins.

Luckily, they hand the ball to Snell, who's been arguably the hottest pitcher in baseball since the end of May. The left-hander has allowed just four earned runs and struck out a whopping 66 batters in 42 innings of work over his last seven starts.

That’s why the Padres are sizeable -180 home favorites against an Angels team that actually has solid numbers when facing left-handers this season. L.A. ranks seventh in batting average and OPS, and sixth in wRC+ vs. lefties this season. 

Meanwhile, the Angels counter Snell with Jaime Barria. The right-hander has been solid this season with a 2.92 ERA but has been better as a reliever this season.

However, as I mentioned above, the Padres have just been really inconsistent when facing right-handed pitching this season. I think there's some value in the Angels as underdogs, particularly on the run line.

When it comes to the total, it opened at an even 8 this morning and that’s where it remains as of Monday afternoon. I would lean toward the Under here for basically all the reasons I listed above. Summarized, Snell is pitching well and the Padres don’t hit well.  

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Trend to know

Despite how good Snell has been, the Padres are just 4-3 in his last seven starts and are 0-7 in their last seven games vs. a right-handed starter. Find more MLB betting trends for Angels vs. Padres

Angels vs Padres game info

Starting pitchers

Jaime Barria (2-3, 2.92 ERA): Barria is a long reliever who is capable of starting. I hesitate to call him an opener because when he does start it’s usually for more than an inning or two. In fact, he averages nearly 4.5 innings per start this season.

Blake Snell (4-7, 3.21 ERA): The left-hander has allowed just four earned runs over his last seven starts and has struck out double-digit batters in four straight. He's been dealing.