Los Angeles Angels at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

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The Los Angeles Angels (45-43) look to avoid being swept in a 3-game road series against the San Diego Padres (40-46) Wednesday. First pitch from Petco Park is at 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Padres lead 2-0

The Angels lost 8-5 Tuesday after dropping the series opener 10-3 on Monday, and have now lost 6 of their last 7 games. Los Angeles is in 3rd place in the AL West, 7 games behind the division-leading Texas Rangers and 4 behind the 2nd-place Houston Astros.

The Padres entered the series having lost 7 of 8 but have now won 3 out of their last 4. San Diego is in 4th place in the NL West, 10 games behind the division-leading Arizona Diamondbacks and 6 games behind the 3rd-place San Francisco Giants.

Angels at Padres projected starters

LHP Patrick Sandoval vs. RHP Seth Lugo

Sandoval (4-7, 4.57 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.49 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 80 2/3 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 7 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 8 K in a 9-7 home loss vs. Chicago White Sox Thursday
• The Angels are 1-7 in his last 8 starts

Lugo (3-4, 3.59 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.27 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 57 2/3 innings.

• Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 R (0 ER), 5 H, 0 BB, 6 K in a 7-5 road loss vs. Cincinnati Reds Friday
• The Padres have lost his last 5 starts and 7 of his last 8

Angels at Padres odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.

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Angels at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 7, Padres 6

The Angels have lost 6 of their last 7 games and 7 of Sandoval’s last 8 starts. However, they have only been swept once all year in a 3-game series (May 26-28 at home to the Miami Marlins).

The Padres have not yet completed a sweep of a 3-game series this season and have lost Lugo’s last 5 turns.

BET ANGELS (+150).

The Angels are 24-21 ATS on the road and 17-12 ATS as road underdogs.

The Padres are 18-24 ATS at home and 6-21 ATS as home favorites. They have won and covered the spread in both games of this series as favorites.

However, the trends do not favor them.

Having failed to complete a 3-game sweep all season, it’s hard to trust them in this one, especially when they have struggled in Lugo’s starts.

The Angels +1.5 (-135) are not a bad bet at all if you don’t trust them straight up and want the run of insurance, but they have won outright the last 11 times they have covered the spread as underdogs. Seeking the plus money odds on the moneyline is the better wager.

PASS.

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Both games in this series have had 13 total runs.

Nine of the Padres’ last 12 games have had at least 9 total runs.

Six of the Angels’ last 12 games have finished with more than 9 total runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-105).

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