Padres vs. Angels Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The San Diego Padres (38-46) and Los Angeles Angels (45-41) square off in the first of a three-game series on Monday at PETCO Park, at 9:40 PM ET. The Padres are coming off a series defeat to the Reds, and the Angels a series loss to the Diamondbacks.

The Padres are favored (-197 moneyline odds) when they host the Angels (+162). The over/under for this game is set at 8.

The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 3, 2023 at 3:17 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Padres vs Angels Betting Lines

Padres Betting Insights

• This season, the Padres have won 30 out of the 61 games, or 49.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
• San Diego has entered 13 games this season favored by -197 or more and is 8-5 in those contests.
• The Padres have a 66.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of 84 games with a total.
• The Padres are 38-46-0 ATS in their 84 games with a spread this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Angels Betting Insights

• The Angels have been victorious in 18, or 52.9%, of the 34 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have given Los Angeles this season with a +162 moneyline set for this game.
• The Angels have an implied victory probability of 38.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of its 86 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Angels are 42-44-0 against the spread in their 86 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell

• Snell’s team is 6-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in six innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
• Snell has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
• He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 16 chances this season.
• Snell’s team has won 45.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-6).
• In games Snell has started, his team is 5-11.
• In Snell’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Angels Probable Pitcher – Jaime Barria

• Barria gets the start for the Angels, his sixth of the season. He is 2-3 with a 2.92 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 49 1/3 innings pitched.
• The righty last pitched on Thursday against the Chicago White Sox, when he tossed three innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• Barria will look to collect his fourth outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 2.9 innings per appearance.
• In 11 of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
• The Angels were named the moneyline underdog for two Barria starts this season — they won both.
• Over Barria’s five starts, his team is 4-1.
• Barria has had five starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and three of those outings finished over the total.

Angels Relief Pitchers

Padres Hitting Trends

• The Padres have a 17-17 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
• San Diego has had five or more extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and has gone 14-6 in those outings.
• The team is 29-15 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
• San Diego has a 31-5 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
• The Padres are 20-15 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Angels Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 36 games this season and are 24-12 in those matchups.
• Los Angeles has gone 14-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
• In 57 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 35-22.
• Los Angeles has a 35-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• They have won 16 of their 24 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Padres vs. Angels Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-197)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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