Anytime and First Touchdown Scorer Predictions for Week 6
The volatility of the anytime and first touchdown scorer markets has us down 3.9 units through five weeks of the NFL season but our predictions for Thursday Night Football can pull us quickly into the black. These picks are formulated using the NFL odds offered by our best NFL betting sites.
Looking to enhance your Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs predictions and Broncos vs. Chiefs player props? Our anytime touchdown scorer prediction for Thursday night targets a juicy plus-money payout that would erase our 3.9-unit deficit through the NFL's Week 5.
Our Phil Wood has his best Patrick Mahomes NFL player props, but we're digging deeper in the hopes of a big payday.
Our anytime and first touchdown scorer predictions for Week 6 complement our NFL player props Week 6 as we look to get the better of our best sports betting apps.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions: Week 6
Broncos vs. Chiefs anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Noah Gray, Chiefs, TE (+500 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Chiefs are heavy 10.5-point favorites at home to their AFC West rivals on Thursday Night Football. The betting total has been trending down through the week from the opening line of 50.5 to as low as 46.5 as of Thursday morning. Part of the reason for that may be the fact the Chiefs and Broncos will meet up again in Denver in Week 8, leading to Chiefs head coach Andy Reid playing a more conservative style on TNF.
The other reason is likely the health of Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce.
Kelce temporarily left last Sunday's game against the Minnesota Vikings due to an ankle injury but managed to return. He returned to practice Tuesday and seems on track to play Thursday. All eyes, including those of Taylor Swift, will be on the star on primetime and that has his anytime touchdown odds as low as -170 via DraftKings.
Our Rodrigo Villagomez looks at his favorite Travis Kelce NFL player props.
Chiefs backup tight end Noah Gray stands to benefit from Kelce being anything less than 100% and from Reid using his secondary play calls. Gray's 65% of the offensive snaps played last week were his highest since the Chiefs' season-opening loss to the Detroit Lions, when Kelce was inactive, and it was his fourth time through five games playing at least 60% of the snaps. He had multiple receptions for the third time this season.
Most importantly, the Broncos are bad. They also rank fourth in average yards (63.2) and third in average touchdowns (0.6) surrendered to opposing tight ends. Gray is projected for 0.2 touchdown on Thursday and we can turn that 20% implied probability into betting odds of +400.
Three of our best NFL prop betting sites are below that number, so rush to this +500 ticket available via FanDuel.
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