Travis Kelce NFL Player Props, Odds

sportsbookreview.com

21 October 2023

Our Travis Kelce NFL player prop predictions, backed by the top NFL odds, take into account the Chargers' susceptible pass defense throughout this season.

Tight end Travis Kelce has been a dominant force in his tenure with the Kansas City Chiefs, and this trend has persisted in 2023 as Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes consistently relies on his most talented weapon.

Can Kelce play a significant role in Kansas City's offensive production at Arrowhead, particularly against the Los Angeles Chargers defense that has conceded more passing yards per game than any other team in the NFL this season?

NFL Week 7 odds and lines and accompanying NFL Week 7 predictions. To complement our Chargers vs. Chiefs NFL predictions, here are our best Travis Kelce NFL player prop predictions for the Chargers vs. Chiefs Week 7 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Travis Kelce NFL player prop predictions for Week 7

Travis Kelce Over 6.5 receptions (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Travis Kelce Over 73.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Travis Kelce first touchdown scorer (+550 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

Travis Kelce player props

Travis Kelce Over 6.5 receptions (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

After missing the Chiefs’ opening game of the season due to injury, Travis Kelce has been active for the last five games, increasing his effectiveness with each passing week. Kelce has drawn eight or more targets in every game this season, securing at least six receptions in each of his past five contests.

Kelce has cleared the 6.5-reception threshold in three of his past four outings. He should remain the focal point of a Kansas City offense that hasn’t yet seen its hodgepodge group of wide receivers produce a consistent weekly complement to the veteran tight end’s target dominance.

The majority of our best sportsbooks list Kelce’s reception total at 6.5, but some substantial odds variation makes it imperative to shop around. BetMGM is a spot to avoid for this Over as the odds are juiced there to -135. At -130, bet365 isn’t much better. DraftKings inches into more reasonable territory, listing the Over at -120. The current odds at FanDuel are the best, around -114 for Over 6.5 receptions.

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Travis Kelce Over 72.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

The Chargers have allowed more passing yards per game than any team in the NFL this season, surrendering 289.0 yards per contest. Given that, it might be surprising that Los Angeles has minimized the impact of tight ends against its defense despite the generally woeful pass coverage.

A lot of that can be traced back to the quality of the opposition within a small sample. Minnesota Vikings tight end TJ Hockensen is arguably the only noteworthy pass-catching tight end that the Chargers have faced this season. He tagged Los Angeles for eight catches and 78 receiving yards. Look for Kelce to have a similar impact on Sunday afternoon.

Avoid FanDuel for this Over prop; the NYC-based bookmaker lists Kelce’s yardage at an inflated 75.5. Our other sportsbooks have the line set at 73.5, with bet365 offering the most favorable odds of that grouping (-110).

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Kelce first touchdown scorer (+550 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Travis Kelce has scored three touchdowns across his five games played on the season. In most settings, he’s the most obvious receiving threat to land the first score of any given contest. Still, with dynamic playmakers like Chargers wideout Keenan Allen and Los Angeles running back Austin Ekeler on the other side of this matchup, Kelce’s odds are more favorable than in games where he’s effectively the only show in town.

With +430 odds, Caesars waters down the reward on Kelce landing the game's first touchdown. Bet365 is a little better at +500, but you’re going to want to submit this wager through DraftKings, FanDuel, or BetMGM to take advantage of the +550 odds in those spots.

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Travis Kelce player prop picks made 10/21/2023 at 8:00 a.m. ET.