Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 6-12-23 MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet in MLB action from Chase Field on Monday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Arizona is listed as a -115 home favorite while Philadelphia is a -105 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 10 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Matt Strahm will start for the Phillies here and is 4-3 with a 3.61 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Tommy Henry will get the start for the Diamondbacks and is 3-1 with a 4.37 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. 

Matchup History

Philadelphia’s 6-5 win over Arizona back on May 24th, 2023, snapped Arizona’s two-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup. 

Trends

Philadelphia is 3-7 in their last 10 games against the NL West and 4-10 in their last 14 road games while the over is 4-1-3 in their last 8 series-opening games. Arizona is 20-7 in their last 27 games overall and 22-7 in their last 29 games against a team with a losing record while the over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 series-opening games. 

Pick

I’m backing the Diamondbacks here. I’m not the biggest Tommy Henry fan, but since the beginning of May, Henry’s pitched pretty well at home with a sub-2.00 ERA. On the other side, I’ve thought the Phillies have been overhyped since the beginning of the season and I think we’re finally seeing the Diamondbacks get the respect they deserve. Arizona keeps finding ways to win and I think they find the way here as well. Give me Arizona.