Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks & prediction

The Arizona Diamondbacks (40-25) open a 7-game homestand Monday with the first of 4 games against the Philadelphia Phillies (32-33) First pitch from Chase Field is at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-1

The Phillies have won 7 of their last 8 games, including 2 of 3 against the Los Angeles Dodgers from Friday-Sunday. Philadelphia closed out a 5-1 homestand with a 7-3 win on Sunday.

The Diamondbacks rallied from 3 runs down on Sunday for a 7-5 victory as they completed a 3-game road sweep of the Detroit Tigers. Arizona is riding a 5-game win streak and has won 11 of its last 13 contests.

Phillies at Diamondbacks projected starters

LHP Matt Strahm vs. LHP Tommy Henry

Strahm (4-3, 3.61 ERA) makes his 9th start and 18th appearance. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 through 42 1/3 IP.

• Has 8 bullpen appearances and 2 opener starts since May 7
• Has a 4.02 ERA along those 10 appearances

Henry (3-1, 4.37 ERA) makes his 9th start and 10th appearance. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 through 45 1/3 IP.

• Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 3 BB, 2 K in a 10-5 road win over the Washington Nationals Tuesday
• The Diamondbacks are 6-2 in Henry’s starts in 2023

Phillies at Diamondbacks odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:24 a.m. ET.

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Phillies at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 7, Phillies 6

Both teams come into the series red-hot, with the Phillies having won 7 of their last 8 games and the Diamondbacks having won 5 in a row and 11 of their last 13.

But Philadelphia is 13-22 on the road this season, going 4-6 and 6-10 in its last 10 and 16 road games, respectively.

Arizona is 6-2 in Henry’s starts.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (-105).

The Diamondbacks are 40-25 ATS overall, the 2nd-best mark in the majors this season.

The Phillies are 25-40 ATS, the 3rd-worst mark in the majors.

However, the better play is the Diamondbacks straight up on the moneyline.

PASS.

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The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.8 runs per game over their last 13 games and 7.8 during their win streak.

Four of Henry’s 8 starts have had totals of 10 or more runs.

Four of the Phillies’ last 9 games have had 10 or more runs.

BET OVER 10 (-110).

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