Astros Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines & Predictions

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Astros Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines & Predictions

The Houston Astros (4-6) and Pittsburgh Pirates (6-3) clash in the first of a three-game series on Monday at PNC Park, at 6:35 PM ET. The Astros are coming off a series defeat to the Twins, and the Pirates a series win over the White Sox.

The Astros are a favorite (-193) at the Pirates (+162). The over/under for the game is 8 total runs.

The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of April 10, 2023 at 3:16 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Astros vs Pirates Betting Lines

Astros Betting Insights

  • This season, the Astros have won four out of the eight games in which they’ve been favored.
  • Houston has entered three games this season favored by -193 or more and are 1-2 in those contests.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 65.9% chance to win.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in seven of 10 opportunities.
  • The Astros are 5-5-0 against the spread this season.

Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in eight games this year and have walked away with the win five times (62.5%) in those games.
  • This will be the worst odds to win that sportsbooks have given Pittsburgh this season with a +162 moneyline set for this game.
  • The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 38.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in four of its nine opportunities.
  • In nine games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 5-4-0 against the spread.

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez

  • Valdez has a record of 0-2-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Detroit Tigers, throwing seven innings and giving up three earned runs.
  • Valdez has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Valdez’s team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
  • Valdez’s team is 0-2 when he starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Valdez this season, the teams hit the over once.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Pirates Probable Pitcher – Roansy Contreras

  • Contreras (0-0) takes the mound first for the Pirates to make his second start this season.
  • The righty last pitched on Tuesday against the Boston Red Sox, when he went 5 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up three hits.
  • The Pirates were the moneyline underdog for one Contreras start this season — they won.
  • His team has won the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
  • Contreras’ lone start with a total this season went under.

Pirates Relief Pitchers

Astros Hitting Trends

  • The Astros average 1.0 home run per game to rank 13th in MLB play with 10 total home runs .
  • Houston ranks 23rd in the majors with a .363 slugging percentage.
  • The team is 3-2 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
  • Houston has a 4-2 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Astros are 1-2 over the three games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Pirates Hitting Trends

  • They’ve won all three of their games in which they’ve hit two or more home runs this season.
  • Pittsburgh’s .419 slugging percentage ranks 14th in the majors.
  • They have won three of the four games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Pittsburgh has won three of its four games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • The Pirates’ .315 on-base percentage ranks 22nd in baseball.

Astros vs. Pirates Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Pirates (+162)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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